Tennis Betting Advice - April 2022

ATP Miami - Hubi makes the semis...

Friday 1st April 2022

Good morning. Thursday produced another entertaining day of tennis in Miami…

Teenager Carlos Alcaraz seems to play out a classic every time he steps on court lately. After recent world-class clashes with Rafael Nadal (Indian Wells, lost 2-1), and Stefanos Tsitsipas (Miami, won 2-0). This time the 18-year-old Spaniard came through to win 2-1 v 500/1 pre-tournament outsider Miomir Kecmanovic. Don’t let those odds mislead you, though – Kecmanovic is one of the most improved men on the tour right now. It was another exhilarating, high-quality match.

Alcaraz featured in our pre-season Ones to Watch in 2022 report. We had him in the ante-post book as a 33/1 early-bird pick for January’s Australian Open, where he reached the 3rd round. But in terms of getting big odds like those, the cat looks to now be out of the bag…

In February, Carlos won an ATP 500 title in Rio de Janeiro. He went off at just 4/1 that week. Here at the ATP 1000 event in Miami, as we noted at the start of the tournament, the prodigious youngster was priced at 6/1 in general, and 13/2 (7.5) at best. No matter how good the player – and this player is very good – I like to bet at much bigger prices…

Hubi makes the semis…

We have a 33/1 Each Way pick taking on Alcaraz in the ATP Miami semi finals tonight (Midnight). Defending champion Hubert Hurkacz looked in fine fettle yesterday, smiling and gliding around the court as he took out an under-the-weather Daniil Medvedev in straight sets, 7-6, 6-3. The match upset was 3/1.

If Medvedev had won that contest, he’d have gone back to world no.1. Our man Hubi ran out a deserved winner though, and moves on to the semis. (He’s loving life in Florida, an area where he’s well used to the conditions. Hubert is also into the Men’s Doubles final, playing alongside John Isner.)

From 33/1 when we backed him on day one, Hurkacz is this morning trading at 11/4 (3.75) in the Outright Winner market.

And as discussed yesterday, we also have a semi-finalist in the other side of the men’s draw. With Casper Ruud (22/1, 20/1 Each Way) priced as the favourite to beat Francisco Cerundolo today (6pm). With the top seed Medvedev now out, Ruud’s price to win a maiden ATP 1000 title is now down to 2/1.

Four tournaments next week…

Plenty for us to look forward to in Miami this evening, then. And the fun continues next week, with the tour moving on to the clay – and four tournaments kicking off from Monday:

  • WTA 250 Bogota – Copa Colsanitas presentado por Zurich – Clay
  • WTA 500 CharlestonCredit One Charleston Open – Clay
  • ATP 250 MarrakechGrand Prix Hassan II – Clay
  • ATP 250 HoustonFayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Clay Court Championship – Clay

We’ll be looking for value prices in those events, for sure. I’ll keep you posted.
Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch