Tennis Betting Advice - April 2022
Looking forward to our trip to Madrid...
Tuesday 26th April 2022
The run-up to the French Open continues this week, with all the top-flight action once again taking place on European clay courts.
Two men’s 250-grade tournaments got underway on Monday. The BMW Open in Munich, Germany. And the Millennium Open in Estoril, Portugal. The Outright Winner markets don’t have any particular players that jump out to me at the prices. And price is key. We won’t go reaching for bets for the sake of it.
Our next big-odds opportunity is likely not far away. Indeed, it might come as soon as this Thursday…
Next stop, Madrid…
The Mutua Madrid Open is the latest ‘Masters 1000’ stop-off on both the ATP & WTA Tours. Madrid will promise a competitive field, as well as the potential for the latest surprise finalist to a make a breakthrough on the big stage…
Prior to the start of the 2021 season, nine of the last 10 ATP 1000 Masters events had been won by either Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, or Daniil Medvedev. But as we noted earlier this month, in the men’s game, the times they are a-changin’…
With Roger Federer turning 40 and seemingly close to retirement. And Nadal, Djokovic, and Andy Murray all very much on the wrong side of 30. The ‘changing of the guard’ moment is happening right here, right now…
After 150/1 outsider Alejandro Davidovich Fokina got to the Monte Carlo Masters final the other week – which was also his first appearance in an ATP final, full-stop. We can update out ATP 1000 stats since the start of 2021. And the ‘new kids on the block’ theme continues:
ATP ‘Masters’ 1000 events
11 finals played since start of 2021 season:
2022:
Monte Carlo – Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Miami – Carlos Alcaraz beat Casper Ruud
Indian Wells – Taylor Fritz beat Rafael Nadal
2021:
Paris – Novak Djokovic beat Daniil Medvedev
Indian Wells – Cameron Norrie beat Nikoloz Basilashvili
Cincinnati – Alexander Zverev beat Andrey Rublev
Toronto – Daniil Medvedev beat Reilly Opelka
Rome – Rafael Nadal beat Novak Djokovic
Madrid – Alexander Zverev beat Matteo Berrettini
Monte Carlo – Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Andrey Rublev
Miami – Hubert Hurkacz beat Jannik Sinner
That list shows that 16 different players have contested the last 11 Masters finals:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud
Taylor Fritz
Rafael Nadal
Novak Djokovic
Daniil Medvedev
Cameron Norrie
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Alexander Zverev
Andrey Rublev
Reilly Opelka
Matteo Berrettini
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Hubert Hurkacz
Jannik Sinner
What’s more, 11 of those 16 players were making their first appearance in a Masters 1000 final:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Carlos Alcaraz
Casper Ruud
Taylor Fritz
Cameron Norrie
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Andrey Rublev
Reilly Opelka
Matteo Berrettini
Hubert Hurkacz
Jannik Sinner
And that list features some massive pre-tournament prices in the Outright Winner markets – including:
Hurkacz 100/1 champion
Fritz 100/1 champion
Norrie 66/1 champion
Davidovich Fokina 150/1 runner-up
Opelka 150/1 runner-up
Basilashvili 100/1 runner-up
Berrettini 50/1 runner-up
Ruud 40/1 runner-up
Sinner 33/1 runner-up
Three down, six to go…
With those recent 33/1, 50/1, 66/1, and 100/1+ prices in mind. We can look forward to the upcoming Masters events with relish…
Still to come on the 2022 calendar in the ATP 1000 category, starting with Madrid:
See you on Thursday…
The men’s Madrid event starts over the Bank Holiday weekend. I’ll be covering that for you next week, after I return from a short trip away. Last season, ATP Madrid saw 25/1 Zverev beat 50/1 Berrettini in the final. Those are the kind of prices we like…
First up, the WTA Madrid event kicks things off for us in Spain, with the women’s 1st round starting from this Thursday. I’ll be in touch then, with my first player selections.
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson