Tennis Betting Advice - August 2019

US Open: Day Six – the bad boys of tennis…

Saturday 31st August 2019

US Open - Day Six

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • 28/1 Demon now 5/1…
  • Popcorn day in New York…
  • Play starts 4pm…

Good morning and welcome to Day Six of your US Open 2019 daily service.

I’m in your inbox every day, sharing all my US Open thoughts, opinion, analysis and advice with you.

If you have any questions or want to drop me a line during the tournament, I’ll be on hand via email.

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Young guns and bad boys…

Sofia Kenin and Dayana Yastremska are Ones to Watch. But they won’t be making the big breakthrough at this tournament.

Both went out to older and higher-ranked players last night. But the future is bright. And while we can still get odds in the region of 66/1 and 100/1 for exciting young players like that, we’ll continue to hunt them out.

Kenin is 20 years old and at a current career-high ranking of No.20 in the world. Yastremska is 19 and ranked a career-best No.32. There’s a lot more to come from these two.

  • Karolina Pliskova had a tough match on Friday but she got the win in the end. Our 14/1 Each Way pick moves into the 4th Round and the bookies now make her 8/1 to go all the way

In the men’s, 20-year-old Alex De Minaur is going great guns, knocking out Kei Nishikori yesterday for his biggest win to date – and in doing so reaching the 4th Round of a Grand Slam for the first time.

De Minaur’s nickname is ‘Demon.’ It works on two counts. One, because his surname sounds like it. And two, ‘cause he is a real speed demon around the courts.

Alex is now one win away from the quarter finals. On the betting front, we have an excellent position here…

We flagged up De Minaur at 28/1 or 25/1 to win Quarter 2. He’s now 5/1 to land that bet. With the odds on our side, we’ll be able to place another ‘saver’ tomorrow to cover our stakes, and leave us with a potential trade out or profit opportunity should he reach the quarter final match. More on that tomorrow.

They might call him the Demon, but De Minaur appears to be one of the most polite and professional young men on the tour. As for these two…

At the start of the season, Daniil Medvedev appeared on our Ones to Watch in 2019 list (along with De Minaur). In the build-up to the US Open we noted the price rush on Medvedev. This summer’s form player on the hard courts, the 23-year-old Russian was charged in from 100/1 outsider at the start of July, to one of the US Open favourites at 12/1.

Could it be the pressure is starting to show? Medvedev has dropped a set in each of the last two rounds. And he ended up being booed by the noisy New York crowd last night, after a show of petulance and frustration threatened to boil over.

Daniil then made the perhaps unwise move of baiting the crowd in his on-court interview immediately after the match: “I want all of you to know when you sleep tonight, I won because of you … The more you do this, the more I will win for you guys.”

Does that ‘bring it on’ attitude remind you of anyone?

So far here in New York, Nick Kyrgios has been on pretty good behaviour by his standards. And I’m still standing by what I said before the tournament. The American crowds love to get involved – and if he stays on the right side of the rules, Nick could have them all cheering for him over the next week or so.

I’d also put it forward that had Kyrgios acted how Medvedev did last night, he’d be getting a lot more attention and bad press for it this morning than the Russian is.

But anyway…

Kyrgios has been playing great. And he looks like he means business here. His toughest assignment yet comes tonight. Another fiery young Russian, 21-year-old Andrey Rublev, has shown form this summer with victories over Roger Federer, Stan Wawrinka and Stefanos Tsitsipas. They met once before, with Kyrgios beating Rublev on indoor hard courts in Moscow last year.

The oddsmakers have Kyrgios as the 8/15 (1.53) match favourite. The US Open schedulers have put Nick in the headline slot – last on the Arthur Ashe Stadium court in the night session. This is the big-time.

While the value might have gone on Medvedev, we got Kyrgios in the book as a One to Watch pick at 50/1 or 40/1. He’s now 14/1 in general. If Nick can keep it going, we’ll be sitting on a great bet.

Popcorn day in New York…

No specific betting advice from me today. The Sunday line-up looks more promising on that front. The Saturday schedule is one to sit back and enjoy as a tennis fan…

As well as potential fireworks in the Rublev v Kyrgios match, I’d also point you towards Gael Monfils v Denis Shapovalov. Get the popcorn ready for that one. Monfils is a master showman, and both players are capable of some of the most outrageous shots you’ll ever see.

In the women’s, Caroline Wozniacki v Bianca Andreescu could get tasty, too. Wozniacki is a two-time former finalist here. The 19-year-old Andreescu has made a similar surge to Medvedev this year. And the Canadian has a habit of winding up opponents with some theatrics on the court. After Andreescu beat Angelique Kerber earlier this year, the German referred to Bianca as a ‘drama queen’…

Last but not least, we have reigning champion and World No.1 Naomi Osaka taking on 15-year-old (fifteen!) American, Coco Gauff. The crowd will be going wild for that one.

The US Open 2019 could be about to get really exciting…

I’ll be back at 11am tomorrow with your next daily email.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch