Tennis Betting Advice - February 2020
Three players in action in Acapulco…
Wednesday 26th February 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
All about Acapulco…
We’re approaching halfway through this week’s tournaments, and we’ve got half of our Ones to Watch picks still standing.
At ATP Dubai, we lost Roberto Bautista-Agut (14/1) in the 1st round. And in Santiago, Martin Klizan (33/1) also made an early exit.
It’s all about Acapulco, now…
Our 50/1 outsider in the women’s event, Jasmine Paolini, withdrew due to illness before her 1st round match with Katie Boulter. Replaced in the WTA Acapulco draw by a Lucky Loser, having played no part in the tournament, Outright Winner bets on Paolini will be void with our recommended bookies. (As ever, the advice is to check with your specific bookmaker.)
We have three players in action in Acapulco tonight…
The draws have opened up…
We identified two ‘weak links’ in the Acapulco draws – vulnerable favourites to avoid at short prices. That proved the right move to make.
In the men’s, defending ATP Acapulco champion Nick Kyrgios only managed one set of tennis before retiring injured. Kyrgios was 7/1 at the start of the week.
In the women’s, former WTA Acapulco winner Sloane Stephens was the 5/1 favourite. Stephens lost 2-0 in her opening match, against a Mexican opponent ranked No.270 in the world. Home player Renata Zarazua provided the shock. Stephens has now lost four out of four matches in 2020.
The exits of Kyrios and Stephens from their sections of the respective Acapulco draws have opened things up for an outsider or two to come through…
In the men’s event, we’re on a pair of 20/1 shots, Felix Auger-Aliassime and Kyle Edmund. Those two will play against each other tonight, meaning we’re guaranteed a player through to the quarter finals.
The Outright market now has Auger-Aliassime at 12/1, and Edmund at 14/1.
In the top half of the women’s draw, where the favourite Stephens is already out, we have 22-year-old Tamara Zidansek at outsider prices, 40/1, 33/1 or 25/1.
Zidansek won her 1st round match, 2-0. The 22-year-old is priced as the slight underdog to beat teenager and fellow Slovenian, Kaja Juvan this evening. The 18-year-old Juvan beat Venus Williams in a tight, three-set battle last night. Zidansek won her only previous competitive match v Juvan, 2-1.
There’s certainly an opportunity here. The winner of the match between World No.74 Zidansek and No.125 Juvan will face either World No.270 Zarazua or No.384 Katie Volynets.
With the women’s draw looking as wide open as we’d anticipated here, Zidansek is now 12/1 at best, and 9/1 & 10/1 in general. We have price on our side.
I’ll be back as usual with our Sunday Night Club looking at next week’s tournament opportunities – if not before.
Enjoy the tennis…