Tennis Betting Advice - February 2023

WTA Monterrey picks - and a 30/1 acca...

Tuesday 28th February 2023

Let’s get the bad news out of the way first this morning. It’s been a tough start to the week, with two of my three picks losing in the 1st round – 28/1 JJ Wolf, and 16/1 Alycia Parks.

Despite those recent blows, our Ones to Watch quest remains undimmed: in the tournament Outright Winner markets, we go after appealing outsiders at attractive Each Way prices.

And at big odds, it only takes one to get us back smiling again…

At WTA Austin, 33/1 shot Taylor Townsend plays this evening.

And with five events on the schedule this week, today I’m focusing on WTA Monterrey

Go with youth in Monterrey – at 16/1 and 50/1…

Monterrey was the scene of one of our all-time ‘near misses’ last year, with 30/1 pick Maria Camila Osorio Serrano missing out on the trophy by the narrowest of margins – losing in a final-set tiebreak, having had five match points. Ouch…

Camila Osorio – as she now goes by on the official WTA website – is back in Mexico this week. The 21-year-old Colombian is a frequent flyer for us at events like this. Earlier this month I discussed Camila’s Mexican & South American form here.

Osorio is a feisty competitor, and I know she’ll give her all for us at 16/1 this week.

Elsewhere in the WTA Monterrey field, I want to be with another promising youngster…

We came close with a teenage pick last week, with Arthur Fils making the semi finals at ATP Marseille. Today I like another 18-year-old as a potential shock-maker…

Diana Shnaider caught the eye at January’s Australian Open, winning four matches in a row to come through qualifying, before giving Top 10 player Maria Sakkari a real scare in a three-set battle in the 2nd round proper. Sakkari didn’t like the yells coming at her from the other side of the net… as with Camila Osorio, Diana Shnaider makes no secret of her desire to win.

Ranked no.94 in the world, 18-year-old Shnaider can climb the rankings this season, and maybe even claim a scalp or two along the way…

One thing I like about Diana is that despite her young age, she already has the physical presence to impose her game on opponents. In other words: she’s got power.

Last year, Shnaider won four lower-tier events. All on clay, but down here in Mexico, these outdoor hard courts aren’t going to be lightning fast.

Odds of 50/1 mark the young Russian out for what she is right now – an unheralded outsider. But we like to back those…

Let’s also take odds of 2/1 for Shnaider to cause an upset and take out 4th seed Elise Mertens in the 1st round tonight.

In my opinion, Mertens is more interested in her Doubles career these days. The 27-year-old Belgian is a former Doubles no.1, and currently ranked no.13. In comparison, she’s never cracked the Top 10 in Singles, and is currently sitting at no.42. Her hungry young opponent might just bring the fire this evening.

30/1 acca…

Last but not least, with so many matches on the schedule in the early rounds across this week’s tournaments. I’ve put together a 10-fold Match Winner acca, which pays around 30/1 if successful.

Play starts from 5pm…

ATP Acapulco:
Brandon Nakashima to beat Daniel Altmaier

ATP Santiago:
Albert Ramos-Vinolas to beat Thiago Monteiro

WTA Austin:
Magda Linette to beat Varvara Gracheva
Marta Kostyuk to beat Dalma Galfi
Dayana Yastremska to beat Anna-Lena Friedsam
Danielle Collins to beat Magdalena Frech

WTA Monterrey:
Tatjana Maria to beat Lucia Bronzetti
Elisabetta Cocciaretto to beat Marina Bassols Ribera
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano to beat Mayar Sherif
Xinyu Wang to beat Sachia Vickery


Ones to Watch picks:

Match Winner acca:

  • 10-fold acca as listed above @ 31/1 BetVictor. Other recommended bookies: Skybet, Bet365, William Hill, Boylesports, Betway 

WTA Monterrey Abierto GNP Seguros

Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):

  • Camila Osorio (AKA Maria Camila Osorio Serrano) @ 16/1 Bet365, BetVictor, William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral, Betway 
  • Diana Shnaider @ 50/1 Bet365, BetVictor, William Hill, 40/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, Betway

Match Winner:

  • Diana Schaider to beat Elise Mertens @ 9/4 (3.25) Skybet, 11/5 (3.2) Bet365, BetVictor, 21/10 (3.1) William Hill, Boylesports, 2/1 (3.0) Betway 


Play starts from 5pm UK time for the acca, and 6pm for WTA Monterrey.

You can watch on Amazon Prime Video, or live streaming on bookies websites including Bet365 and Skybet.

Want to get in touch? Email me at:

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch