Tennis Betting Advice - January 2022

My 3/1 bet for the world no.2 tonight...

Tuesday 4th January 2022

We did a decent bit of business in the Outright Winner markets yesterday. Our two 33/1+ picks for the WTA Melbourne Summer Set 2 tournament, Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea, both won their 1st round matches in good fashion.

And with the two 9/2 (5.5) tournament favourites both going out on day one – Jessica Pegula losing to 3/1 match outsider Irina Begu, and Elise Mertens withdrawing. The outright prices about our two contenders have been chopped considerably…

What a difference one night can make…

In today’s revised market, Paolini is now trading at 16/1. And after a very impressive, 6-0, 6-0 ‘double bagel’ win by Cirstea, the Romanian has now been hacked right down to 9/1.

With 33/1+ in the bag for both women, Each Way. We can look to the rest of the week here in Melbourne knowing that, if nothing else, we’ve got a couple of great prices on our side.

Ones to Watch teenager Clara Tauson also won her opening match, seeing our Match Winner treble over the line. Here’s to more nights like that, as the new 2022 season stretches out before us. Tauson is now the 4/1 favourite to win the trophy this week.

Underdogs showing their teeth…

Last night I went with three favourites that I liked the look of to win their matches. Backing underdog prices is also big business for us here at Ones to Watch. And on that front, I’m always on the lookout for the next against-the-odds opportunity…

I’ve really enjoyed getting back in touch with the tennis these first couple of nights of the new season. The upsets have already started to come. Andy Murray lost to 6/1 match outsider, Facundo Bagnis. Priscilla Hon was a 5/1 victor against Petra Kvitova. As already mentioned, Begu was 3/1 to beat Pegula. And Elina Svitolina crashed out in the 1st round of her first tournament of the year, beaten by 9/2 match underdog, Anastasia Gasanova.

So, will there be more shocks and surprises in store on tonight’s Wednesday schedule Down Under? I would never rule it out…

World no.2 takes to the court in Adelaide…

A potentially tricky first match of the season lies in wait for women’s world no.2 Aryna Sabalenka. Her 20-year-old opponent Kaja Juvan has the game to rattle the Belarusian, if only in spells. The match upset is around 10/3 (4.33).

I’d be more inclined to think Sabalenka could shake off any early rust, and fight through to win it in three sets. Indeed, the 23-year-old’s last two match wins of 2021 paid out on the 2-1 score-line, and she dropped the first set in five of her last six.

Upcoming Slovenian youngster Juvan has gone down in the full three sets in each of her last trio of defeats on the tour.

At odds of 3/1+ in the Set Betting market, the Sabalenka 2-1 win is my match pick for tonight. Compared to Match Winner prices of just 1/6 (1.17) and 2/9 (1.22), the three-set route to victory stands out as the value proposition for the world no.2…

I’ve seen Sabalenka get her big-hitting game in order in just enough time to settle a match this way on plenty of occasions. This first outing of the new campaign fits the bill for another. A scrap, with the underdog threatening – but the higher-ranked player showing their class in the end. That’s how I see it.


Ones to Watch picks:

WTA Adelaide – International 1

Set Betting:

  • Aryna Sabalenka to win 2-1 v Kaja Juvan @ 17/5 (4.4) Coral, Ladbrokes, SportingBet, Bwin, 16/5 (4.2) William Hill, Boylesports, Sporting Index Fixed Odds, 3/1 (4.0) Bet365, Skybet, BetVictor, Betfred, Unibet, 888 Sport, SpreadEx Fixed Odds


The match is scheduled for 12.30am tonight, UK time.

I’ll be back soon with more from Australia.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch