Tennis Betting Advice - January 2022

Australian Open Day 9 - back these boys tonight...

Monday 24th January 2022

Australian Open daily email service – Day 9

Would you believe it…

On Day 6, all four women’s 3rd round matches went to three sets. On Day 8, all four women’s 4th round contests also went the distance to a deciding set…

In between, on Day 7, my 500/1+ four-fold on the 2-1 score-lines came up completely bone dry.

Here are the women’s (Day 8) results from Sunday night and this morning:

Danielle Collins def. Elise Mertens, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4

Alize Cornet def. Simona Halep 6-4, 3-6, 6-4

Iga Swiatek def. Sorana Cirstea 5-7, 6-3, 6-3

Kaia Kanepi def. Aryna Sabalenka 5-7, 6-2, 7-6 (10-7)

Sabalenka crashed out of the tournament, with yet another double-figure tally for Double Faults (15 this time. Ouch). The world no.2 has played five matches so far this season. Four of them have gone to a third set. And she’s served 10+ Double Faults in all five.

The Sabalenka 2-1 Set Betting score eluded us then (just). With 36-year-old Kanepi eventually squeezing through in a deciding first-to-10-points tiebreak.

Much better news for us with Danielle Collins, though. For the second round running, the American recovered from losing the first set, and used all her trademark fighting qualities to battle back and win. That 2-1 triumph over Mertens became even more significant after the result in the next match on court…

Big name Simona Halep was knocked out, with another 30+ player making a resurgence on the big stage. Alize Cornet celebrated her 32nd birthday with a win last week, and the party continued yesterday, with the Frenchwoman pulling off a big upset by taking out former world no.1 Halep.

In the quarter finals, Collins will face Cornet. A line-up that has seen the bookies install our player as the 1/3 (1.33) match favourite. With the American’s tournament price now chopped to as short as 8/1 with Bet365, and 10/1 and 12/1 elsewhere. We’re on Collins at 66/1, 50/1 or 40/1.

Our Outright book…

In the Outright Winner markets, our book of Each Way outsiders now looks like this. With three players through to the quarter finals:

Women:
Danielle Collins 40/1+ – now 12/1 or shorter

Men:
Jannik Sinner 25/1 – now 12/1
Denis Shapovalov 80/1 – now 20/1 – plays Rafael Nadal in the quarter finals tonight (3am+), priced at 9/4 (3.25) for the upset

Back these boys tonight…

I’ve got one match selection for us on Day 9. And it comes in the Men’s Doubles event…

Lifelong buddies Thanasi Kokkinakis and Nick Kyrgios are making waves in the Doubles – and I’m backing them to keep the run going tonight.

After knocking out No.1 seeds Nikola Mektic & Mate Pavic in the 2nd round, it feels like the Aussie duo of Kokkinakis & Kyrgios now have a bit of a ‘free roll’ in this tournament.

And with the handbrake off, a relaxed Nick Kyrgios with his best mate by his side, and his home crowd going mad for it in the stands, is a force to be reckoned with…

Whenever these guys are taking to the court here, they’re creating a carnival atmosphere. Cue the Bryan-Brothers-style ‘flying chest bump’ celebrations, with Kyrgios conducting the crowd like a circus master.

Yes, it’s fun. But with both men out of the Singles early on. Make no mistake, 25-year-old Thanasi and 26-year-old Nick would love nothing more this week than to take this Grand Slam Doubles title in front of the Melbourne crowd.

If there was an Outright Winner market widely available for the Doubles, I’d be suggesting we jump right in there today and back the Australian pair. But there’s no such market to hand as far as I can see. So, let’s back the boys to do the business on a match-by-match basis.

In the early hours of tomorrow morning (Tuesday 3am+, UK time), Kokkinakis & Kyrgios will take on Tim Puetz & Michael Venus. The opponents bring plenty of experience – the German-New Zealander team comprising of a pair of 34-year-olds, who are the 6th seeds here.

Momentum is massive in sport, and right now, the good vibes and confidence coursing through the Aussie combo – not to mention a fair bit of determination to succeed, and maybe even prove a point. All leads me to a confident bet on the home pair here.

Thanasi & Nick go way back. In 2013, they won the Wimbledon Junior Doubles title. And with the home-hero feeling rising strong this fortnight, Nick’s latest post-match comments have got me convinced…

"I feel like favourites out there with doubles … I feel like we're locked in … it's probably the best doubles we've played together.”

Not every firm covers the Doubles. I’ve listed below the prices that I’ve found, with 10/11 and 4/5 on offer and plenty backable.

My pick: Kokkinakis & Kyrgios to win this quarter-final match – and keep the home crowd cheering.
 
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Ones to Watch picks:

Australian Open 2022 – Men’s Doubles

Match Winner:

  • Thanasi Kokkinakis & Nick Kyrgios to beat Tim Puetz & Michael Venus @ 10/11 (1.91) Bet365, 5/6 (1.83) Boylesports, 4/5 (1.8) Skybet, William Hill, BetVictor, 3/4 (1.75) Betway

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I’ll be back by 5pm tomorrow with your Day 10 email.

P.S
If you’d like to get in touch during the tournament, you can email me at: tom.wilson@oxonpress.co.uk

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch