Tennis Betting Advice - January 2023

Australian Open: Day 5 - it's a crazy game (at 100/1)...

Thursday 19th January 2023

Good afternoon, and welcome to Day 5 of your Australian Open 2023 daily service. Play starts from Midnight, UK time…

What were we saying about late nights…

That ‘late finish’ debate is going to rage now. As I write, Andy Murray is STILL playing his 2nd round match against Thanasi Kokkinakis. It’s well past 3.30am in Melbourne, and into a fifth set.

It’s a crazy game…

And there was plenty more madness going on last night, with a stack of seeds and big names going out. Casper Ruud, Alexander Zverev, the well-backed Taylor Fritz - all out. As well as - frustratingly - two of our women’s picks, Russian pair Veronika Kudermetova and Liudmila Samsonova.

Some redemption from my men’s Tiebreak selections yesterday, though - showing I do know what I’m doing here… there were a total of seven 7-6 sets across the four matches I flagged up. Including Fritz landing the 9/2 odds to win the 1st Set by the 7-6 score in his match.

With Sir Andy Murray puffing and ranting on the screen in front of me as I type, I’ll be taking it slightly easier on the overnight viewing schedule tonight. We are but humans…

MARTA KOSTYUK @ 100/1

Just one bit of business from me for today. Marta Kostyuk fits into the category I’ve been talking about this week: a young player who’s featured in Ones to Watch before at big odds - and one that we want to keep onside for when her moment comes…

Kostyuk takes on Jessica Pegula tonight. With the American one of the tournament favourites right now - and also making up one part of our 25/1+ women’s Name the Finalists combo, alongside Aryna Sabalenka.

Marta gave Jessica a real good match in their only previous meeting, which went to the full three sets. And the 20-year-old Ukrainian, ranked no.61 in the world, is showing signs of menace and intent here in Australia at the start of the 2023 season…

Kostyuk is playing well, looks physically strong - and up for a scrap. She made a quarter final in Adelaide at the start of the month. And the aggressive youngster has bludgeoned her way through the first two rounds here in Melbourne with a brace of straight-sets, 2-0 victories.

With odds of 100/1 and 80/1 Each Way widely available in the tournament winner market (as well as 66/1 To Reach the Final at Bet365), let’s add Marta Kostyuk to our Outright Winner book today. The big prices appeal in their own right. And this pick can also act as a saver of sorts for our Pegula-Sabalenka ‘Name the Finalists’ combo.

I’ve got lots more to say about both the men’s and women’s events. But for now, I need some rest! I’ll be back, fresh-faced, tomorrow…

----------------------------------------------------

Ones to Watch picks:

Australian Open 2023

Women’s Outright Winner AND To Reach the Final:

  • Best price option - back Marta Kostyuk Win Only with one of the 100/1 firms below AND 66/1 To Reach the Final @ Bet365

Otherwise, standard Each Way bet:

----------------------------------------------------

I’ll be back by 5pm Friday with your Day 6 email.

P.S
You can email me during the tournament at:

tom.wilson@oxonpress.co.uk

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch