Tennis Betting Advice - July 2018
From grass to clay – two 25/1 picks this week…
Sunday 15th July 2018
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Wimbledon dreams, Wimbledon nightmares…
Novak Djokovic was far too good for a weary Kevin Anderson on Sunday afternoon. Big Kev put up as much of a fight as he could, but the Wimbledon dream didn’t come true.
Nevertheless it was a fantastic tournament for Anderson, reaching the final as a 50/1 pre-tournament outsider – and one that I didn’t hear anyone but us talking about.
If you were on Anderson at big prices and got the Each Way payout, let me know.
Apart from Anderson, who featured in our Wimbledon Ones to Watch report, the tournament was a bit of nightmare for me. I won’t deny it.
In terms of the Women’s event, we got we wanted in terms of the top 10 seeds all going out in the first seven days – but on this occasion our big price outsiders didn’t capitalise. We can’t land a winner like 40/1 Sloane Stephens (US Open 2017) every time. Although we can try.
We had two Match Winner accas in the first few days that were – wait for it – ‘one away’ from winning. With 9/1 and 10/1 shots so close but oh-so-far away.
This tournament was not a profitable one for my daily picks. But we have had winning tournaments before – plenty of them – and we will be back there again soon enough. Of that much I am sure. We dust ourselves off and go again. And if you were on Anderson, then Wimbledon 2018 certainly had some kind of a silver lining.
From grass to clay this week…
We move on, and we move on fast; the tennis tour is relentless and continues apace this week. There are no fewer than five tournaments across the Men’s ATP and Women’s WTA Tours – and they start from Monday AM.
ATP Newport is the last grass court event of the season, and the only one held in the USA. The field looks tricky to call in that one this year, with a handful of players around the 10/1 mark all with similar claims to the title.
Elsewhere we’re back on the clay in Europe, with tournaments in Croatia, Switzerland, Romania and Sweden. Two players catch the eye for me at nice outsider prices…
Ones to Watch picks at 25/1…
It’s getting late as I write this, so I’ll be brief in my notes today…
In the ATP Umag event, where Kyle Edmund has withdrawn and 2017 winner Andrey Rublev appears an unknown quantity as he returns from a back injury, I like the improving German left-hander Maximilian Marterer at 25/1.
The 23-year-old is yet to reach an ATP final but he’s been playing with an intent and aggression that suggest he is well up for one soon…
This tournament was the scene of Rublev’s breakthrough trophy win last season and Marterer can do something similar this time. He’s won over 100 matches on clay in his fledgling career – it’s his best surface, and he impressed at the French Open last month with a run to the 4th Round where there was no shame at all in being stopped by the man who went on to win at Roland Garros, Rafael Nadal.
ATP Umag – Croatia Open
BET: Maximilian Marterer @ 25/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 25/1 (26.00) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 16/1 (17.00) William Hill, 14/1 (15.00) Bet365, Boylesports
Latest odds here
In the WTA Gstaad event in Switzerland, I like one of the ‘home’ players – Stefanie Voegele at 25/1. While all eyes were on Wimbledon last week, Stefanie was playing in a lower-tier clay court tournament in France – and she won it…
This 28-year-old Swiss player is one you don’t hear much about on the tour but she hits the ball hard and is having a good year at her just inside-the-top-100 level, including a 15-4 win-loss record on clay.
Voegele is the 7th seed this week and placed in the bottom half of the draw, which looks to be the more winnable half to me. She reached the semi finals at another WTA tournament in Swizterland earlier this year (Lugano), and can put together another run here at an attractive price.
WTA Gstaad – Ladies Championship
BET: Stefanie Voegele @ 25/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 25/1 (26.00) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, NetBet, 10Bet
Latest odds here
Play starts in Gstaad from 9.30am and in Umag from 4pm, UK time. Place your Outright Winner bets before then, as bookies will suspend the market during matches.
I’ll be back later in the week – Wednesday onwards – with more on this week’s tournaments.
Enjoy the tennis…