Tennis Betting Advice - July 2019

Wimbledon: Get set for Manic Monday…

Sunday 7th July 2019

Wimbledon - Bets of the Day

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Middle Sunday – no play today…
  • Manic Monday – 4th Round tomorrow…
  • Three players into Week Two…

Get set for Manic Monday…

Wimbledon has many traditions. One is that there’s no play on the Middle Sunday. The only time that changes is if the weather’s been bad and the schedulers need to catch up on matches. We’ve had a sunny first week and the schedule is all up to date.

‘Manic Monday’ sees the entire 4th Round in both the Men’s and Women’s Singles draws crammed into one day…

This is always one of the biggest days of the fortnight, with 16 matches where every player is going all-out for a prestigious place in the Wimbledon quarter finals.

The 4th Round starts at 11am tomorrow.

Three players into Week Two…

In terms of entertainment, Week One of Wimbledon 2019 has been great. Kyrgios v Nadal was can’t-take-your-eyes-off-it-excitement. And we’ve had some dramatic late-night classics under the lights with the roof closed on both Centre Court and Court One. Including 15-year-old Cori Gauff bursting onto the scene and reaching the 4th Round.

Betting wise, we’re yet to bank anything. Betting at big prices as we do, we are always going to have more losers than winners. In fact, we might only need one ‘good bet’ to make it a very good tournament indeed…

Our tournament betting is always about the end goal. The ultimate target, of course, is to get one of our big-odds Each Way picks into the final. We did that last time out with 40/1 Marketa Vondrousova at the French Open for a half-the-odds payout.

We head into the second week at Wimbledon with three Outright Winner picks still running for us…

In the Women’s:

We got on Dayana Yastremska as One to Watch at 100/1 in the build up to Wimbledon. Then consolidated that with a 33/1 pick after the 2nd Round. This exciting teenager from the Ukraine reached the Wimbledon Junior final in 2016. Still only 19 years of age, she’s now 22/1 in general and 25/1 at best for the big one.

On day one of the tournament we backed Petra Martic at 50/1+, with standout prices of 75/1 and 66/1 that didn’t hang around for long. The 28-year-old Croatian has been one of the form players on the tour all season but still seems to be being overlooked a bit here in terms of media coverage. But that’s okay. We like the underdogs and pride ourselves on supporting ‘off the radar’ players. The bookies now make Petra 33/1 for the title.

Martic has shown her fighting qualities several times already. All three of her matches this week went the distance to three sets, with Martic winning through 2-1. Remarkably, her record for winning when a match goes to the final set is now up to 12 in a row.

In the Men’s:

With the dominance of the big three, we’re treading carefully in the Men’s and only getting involved with genuine outside contenders at genuinely massive prices. The risk/ reward ratio is in our favour here. We have Sam Querrey in the book at 200/1 or 150/1. The 31-year-old American is now down to 40/1 in general and 60/1 at best.

With over 100 betting ‘points’ on our side there, that price shift shows just how important it was to back Sam in the 1st Round, ahead of his underdog win over World No.4 Dominic Thiem. Since then, Querrey has been favourite in the next two rounds, and he’s the bookies’ choice to now reach the quarter finals – short odds-on to beat Tennys Sandgren in the 4th Round tomorrow.

Rafael Nadal (at 7/2) and Roger Federer (also 7/2) are in Sam’s side of the draw. Novak Djokovic (4/5 favourite) is in the other half. Querrey is now fifth in the Outright Winner market, with fellow big-server Milos Raonic (22/1) the other outsider making up that quintet.

If Sam is to pull off the upset and go all the way next week, then his serve will be crucial. He’s been firing it superbly so far. Querrey is ranked No.1 at Wimbledon 2019 for Most Aces (75) and percentage of 1st Serve Points Won (87%).

With such a big price on our side, we can look to trade that Querrey bet next week if he gets to the latter stages.

  • No bets for us today. I’ll be back at 8am Monday with your Bets of the Day email for the 4th Round
  • Remember if you have any questions or want to drop me a line during the tournament, I’m on hand via email. You can message me at: tom.wilson@oxonpress.co.uk

P.S

Closing at Midnight…

Today is your last chance to enter this competition to win tickets to the Women’s Final. I’ve even watched the ‘light-hearted’ Tim Henman video required to find the answer to the entry question. The answer is: His family.

This comp closes at Midnight tonight:

Enter here >>

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch