Tennis Betting Advice - June 2019
French Open: Battles in store at 7/1…
Monday 3rd June 2019
French Open - Bets of the Day
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Good morning and welcome to Day Nine of your French Open 2019 daily service.
The 4th Round continues today with four Men’s matches and four Women’s matches – and places in the quarter finals up for grabs…
A guaranteed semi…
Sunday was a good day for us with our three Women’s Outright Winner picks all progressing to the quarter finals.
With tournament favourite Simona Halep in the top half of the draw, we’ve targeted the bottom half in the hunt for a big-price outsider to reach the final.
After yesterday’s results, we have three of the four quarter-finalists from the bottom half of the Women’s draw:
Vondrousova ran out the comfortable 6-2, 6-0 winner in less than an hour against Anastasija Sevastova, with her Latvian opponent far from her best after a gruelling match in the previous round. Vondrousova slipped on the clay and cut her hand in the first set, but stayed as calm as ever and played very well once again. That’s now four rounds completed – and four 2-0 wins.
Konta was the performance of the day for me in the Women’s, with a solid and focused 6-2, 6-4 win over Donna Vekic, who was also playing well. All of a sudden, Konta has discovered her clay-court game this year.
Martic had a real fight on her hands against Kaia Kanepi. In sweltering heat, Petra hung in brilliantly when almost going 3-0 down in the final set, and came back to secure a gutsy 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 victory in two hours and 14 minutes.
Those results put us in a good position…
Vondrousova (40/1) will play Martic (50/1 or 40/1) in the quarter final – meaning we have a guaranteed semi-finalist at a great price.
Konta (40/1 or 33/1) will face Sloane Stephens. We’ll look at that match and our trading or ‘saver bet’ options tomorrow.
Total Sets combo…
The 4th Round completes today and four of the matches look good prospects for going ‘Over’ in the Total Sets markets…
Karen Khachanov is our lone long-shot in the Men’s Outright Winner betting, backed at top prices of 200/1 or 100/1. The 23-year-old Russian swept through the last round 3-0, but today he’s the underdog against the ever-dangerous Juan Martin del Potro…
This should be a bruising encounter – these two hit the ball as hard as anyone in the sport ever has. Expect some big roars and stacks of brutal forehands. Their only previous Grand Slam meeting (Australian Open 2018) went to four sets. Expect four or five today.
Dominic Thiem is the tournament third-favourite behind Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic, but last year’s French Open runner-up is making slightly hard work of it, dropping sets with three 3-1 wins so far. Gael Monfils is his toughest opponent yet and the French crowd-pleaser is often involved in rollercoaster matches. With the home fans going wild, this could be a cracker.
Fabio Fognini v Alexander Zverev also promises fireworks. Aged 32, the flamboyant Fognini is finally threatening to really come good on his considerable clay-court talent. At No.5 in the world, Zverev is leading the charge from the new wave of players, but the 22-year-old hasn’t yet found out how to win quick matches at Grand Slams. This time last year Zverev played out three five-setters in a row before bowing out in the quarter finals. Last week he needed the full five sets to get through the 1st and 3rd Rounds. Fognini’s first three matches have all ended 3-1.
Those three Men’s matches look primed for 3-1 or 3-2 score-lines. Over 3.5 Sets is the bet (or Both Players to Win a Set with William Hill and Skybet), at around 1/2 (1.50) for each match.
In the Women’s – where they play best of three sets – Katerina Siniakova v Madison Keys is my pick to go the distance today…
Keys is the match favourite but has struggled to get over the line several times before, not least in the last two rounds where the American blew leads before eventually prevailing 2-1. Siniakova is having the tournament of her life and after taking out World No.1 Osaka on Saturday, the Czech’s confidence will be at an all-time high. With a place in the quarter finals at stake both players will be in this for everything, and it could turn into a proper battle. Over 2.5 Sets (or Exactly 3 Sets) is the bet at around 11/8 (2.38).
The combo on all four matches pays 7/1+.
Play starts from 10am.
Today’s bet:
Total Sets (or Both Players to Win a Set):
BET: ACCA – 4-fold on the Total Sets picks above @ 15/2
BOOKIES: 15/2 (8.50) Skybet, 888 Sport, Unibet, 7/1 (8.00) William Hill, Boylesports, Ladbrokes, Coral
I’ll be back tomorrow at 8am with your Bets of the Day for Tuesday, when the quarter finals begin.
Enjoy the tennis…
P.S
Remember if you have any questions or want to drop me a line during the tournament, I’m on hand via email. You can message me at: tom.wilson@oxonpress.co.uk
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson