Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020
Two 7/2 shots for this evening…
Tuesday 2nd June 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Ones to Watch member David C summed up the feeling after last night’s result in Austria.
A close call that didn’t go our way this time, with underdog selection Sandro Kopp not able to hold onto a 4-1 lead in the final set to secure our 11/2 (6.50) selection for a 2-1 score…
“Ouch! Unlucky Tom. Fortunately I laid off on Rodionov at 6/1 when he was 1-4 down in the decider. Keep up the good work. Regards, David”
Betting in-play, David got himself a win-win position with his 6/1 trade. Good work.
Regular correspondent Mike got in touch, too. He got his stake back as a free bet, thanks to a special offer with BetVictor:
“I signed up to an offer from BetVictor and had my losing Sandra Kopp bet refunded”
Offers like that are worth looking out for, with bookies occasionally dangling ‘money back if your player loses in a final-set tiebreak.’ Or if your selection loses ‘after winning the first set,’ for example.
The 2-1 tactic appeals again…
We were most definitely in the right ball park with our approach to yesterday’s match. Jurij Rodionov went of at just 4/11 (1.36) in the Match Winner market. But this a player who has now been taken to a final set in each of his last four matches. The bigger prices in the Set Betting market were the right place to do our business.
Just last week, Lenny Hampel saved a match point to avoid a 2-0 defeat, and ultimately pave the way for our pick Jurgen Melzer to win that match for a 2-1 score-line winner – so we can’t complain about a close one going the other way on Monday. The key is to always be operating on the value side of the odds…
That’s my feeling again today, with two men’s matches in the States looking like three-set battles…
These new, low-tier events feature players that don’t have the consistency of the top names in the game. That’s one reason why I’m so interested in the Set Betting markets and the 2-1 score-lines of late. Fluctuations tend to happen a lot when the quality on court is not at its peak, and that can lead to some topsy-turvy patterns on the scoreboards.
Two 7/2 shots for this evening…
In the ‘Matchplay 120’ series in the USA this evening, these two matches fit the bill for a 2-1 Set Betting pick at odds of 7/2 (4.50). This time, we’re backing the pre-match favourites, but going after a much better return by taking the more ambitious three-set route to victory…
Roberto Cid Subervi v Ulises Blanch
This is the World No.219 v No.240, and those close rankings are another tick in the box for a potential go-the-distance match.
I’ve been following the man from the Dominican Republic’s results over the last couple of days. After three consecutive 2-1 defeats in this Matchplay series, Cid Subervi finally got a win on the board on Monday. His 2-0 win over Chris Eubanks might have something of an asterix by it though, as Eubanks has since pulled out of his next match.
At 22, Blanch is four-and-a-bit years younger than today’s opponent, but the American has already met Cid Subervi four times in various small-scale events…
All four of those previous encounters went to a third & final set, and Blanch won three of them – paying out on the 2-1 score – with the most recent coming in January of this year.
That head-to-head record informs the match odds here, with the younger man the match favourite at a best price 4/7 (1.57). Odds in the region of 7/2 (4.50) appeal for yet another 2-1 triumph for the American.
Mackenzie McDonald v Bjorn Fratangelo
Almost identical prices here, with McDonald the favourite at 4/7 at best, and the 2-1 Set Betting option standing out for us at 7/2…
Another close match-up in the rankings, too, with McDonald at No.271 in the world, and Fratangelo at No.261. Mackenzie is 25 years old, and Fratangelo is 26.
Keeping the comparisons going, McDonald leads the head-to-head, 1-0 – and the score in that sole previous meeting was, you guessed, it, two sets to one. The slightly younger man, McDonald is the better player of these two in my opinion. He’s on a three-match winning run at the Matchplay 120, with two of those victories delivering on the 2-1 Set Betting option.
GST Tours Matchplay 120, Men:
I’m continuing to monitor the daily matches and markets. I’ll keep you posted with my thoughts and findings.
Enjoy the tennis,