Tennis Betting Advice - March 2018

WTA Miami - 80/1 and 100/1 picks...

Tuesday 20th March 2018

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • WTA Miami – play starts 3.30pm...
  • Outright Winner betting…
  • 80/1 and 100/1 Each Way picks…

WTA Miami – Outright Winner betting...

Event: WTA Miami – Miami Open
Date: 20th – 31st March
Surface: Hard 

Fresh from getting 80/1 Daria Kasatkina in the Indian Wells final last week, we head into the second ‘Premier Mandatory’ event of the month keen to hunt out another big-price contender…

This time we’re in Florida for the Miami Open – the second leg of the tour’s annual ‘Sunshine swing’ in March.

Kasatkina is 20/1 at best this time, and nearer to 14/1 with most bookies. Indian Wells victor Naomi Osaka was a 125/1 shot when winning her first ever title there; this week she is 25/1 at best at 20/1 in general – and faces Serena Williams (18/1) in the 1st Round.

Elsewhere the usual Top 10 suspects and big names take up the top of the betting list, but all of them flopped to some degree or another at Indian Wells…

The likes of Simona Halep (8/1), Caroline Wozniacki (10/1), Angelique Kerber (9/1), Garbine Muguruza (14/1) and Elina Svitolina (10/1) have all recently demonstrated that they can throw in a very bad day at the office, out of the blue – and as such are hard to trust at short prices.

Johanna Konta is the reigning Women’s champion in Miami; she’s 33/1 this time and is also hard to make a case for right now having had a poor start to the season.

Petra Kvitova (16/1) and Karolina Pliskova (18/1) are two big-hitting Czechs that also feature around the favourites in the betting. Kvitova looks to be getting back to her best but the summer and grass court season is when we can expect to really see the most from her, and she’s not done much at Miami before (one quarter final from eight attempts). Pliskova has a better record with a semi final and a quarter final from her last three Miami visits, but hasn’t been at her sharpest so far this year.

Once again then we head elsewhere and to the bigger prices – where a promising youngster and an experienced pro catch the eye…

80/1 and 100/1 Each Way picks…

I’m going for two big Each Way prices at small stakes – one in each half of the draw.

Carla Suarez Navarro @ 100/1

In the top half, Carla Suarez Navarro has shown some form lately and seems a little underrated as a 100/1 complete outsider here…

She reached the final in 2015 – which is a piece of form that many players on the list this week can’t match.

More recently, the 29-year-old Spaniard has been playing some good stuff, notably her one-handed backhand which is absolutely sumptuous.

She made the Indian Wells quarter finals last week before bowing out to an in-form Venus Williams – I watched that match and it was actually pretty close.

This year Carla has also made the Australian Open quarter finals – only losing to eventual winner Caroline Wozniacki. She could be on the edge of a good run sometime soon, and what better place to do it than a tournament where she has made it to the final before.

In the bottom half, another eye-catcher from the Aussie Open stands out at underdog prices…

Elise Mertens @ 80/1

Elise Mertens reached the semi finals in Melbourne, firmly announcing herself on the world stage. The 22-year-old Belgian has done little since then but there is more to come from this talented young player for sure.

Her two WTA titles to date have both come on hard courts – most recently in January this year. Mertens has won 10 out of 14 matches so far in 2018 and has put together two good tournament runs already.

Mertens could be a very dangerous opponent for Konta in the early rounds here, and if she gets some momentum going then odds of 80/1 will look very big indeed.

WTA Miami – Miami Open

Outright Winner:

BET: Carla Suarez Navarro @ 100/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 100/1 (101.00) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, 80/1 (81.00) Ladbrokes, Coral, Skybet, SunBets, William Hill, NetBet, 10Bet
STAKE: 0.5 pt – Each Way (total stake 1 pt)

BET: Elise Mertens @ 80/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 80/1 (81.00) Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Bet365, 66/1 (67.00) William Hill, Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral, SunBets, NetBet, 10Bet
STAKE: 0.5 pt – Each Way (total stake 1 pt)

  • Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places

Latest odds here

I’ll be back tomorrow with our Men’s Miami picks.

Enjoy the tennis...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch