Tennis Betting Advice - March 2020
Indian Wells off, but we’re looking ahead...
Monday 9th March 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Indian Wells called off...
There’s some big tennis news today with the announcement from the USA that organisers have called off Indian Wells.
The first WTA Premier Mandatory and ATP Masters 1000 event of the year won’t take place ‘at this time.’ Whether that means Indian Wells 2020 is cancelled completely, or postponed until later in the year, we don’t know. But with the tennis calendar as packed as it is, the former is looking the most likely.
That decision now opens up the possibility for a domino effect in terms of tournaments being called off. The Miami Open is also scheduled for March, and is another massive event on both the men’s & women’s tours.
Of course, health comes first. And the attempt to stop the spread of the coronavirus is behind the Indian Wells announcement.
It’s a worrying time for many reasons. As Nick Kyrgios pointed out in regards to the Australian bushfires in January, some things are way bigger than tennis.
In terms of the tournament calendar, there is no need to get too carried away with a doom-and-gloom scenario just yet. As it stands, we have lost Indian Wells, and that’s all.
The US Open connection...
Today’s announcement does however mean that our immediate plans for this week are no longer applicable. We won’t be having any Ones to Watch action at Indian Wells.
But we’re still going ahead with ‘phase two’ of what I originally had in store for this week...
As I mentioned the other day, there’s an interesting hard-court Grand Slam form line that I’ve noticed over the last couple of years...
Other Indian Wells/ hard-court Grand Slam evidence includes:
And on the men’s tour:
After Indian Wells success triggered a breakthrough at the hard-court Grand Slams (US Open/ Australian Open), each of those players went on to reach career-highs in the world rankings:
Grand Slam picks in prospect...
To me, those trends are significant. Especially in the women’s game, where players have made great leaps forward by winning on the hard courts at the prestigious Indian Wells event – then gone on to deliver at the US Open in particular.
My original tactic this week was going to be to double-up on our Indian Wells picks, backing players in the both the Outright Winner markets for that event, and also for the US Open 2020.
The thinking being, anticipating a player making a big breakthrough in March, and getting the biggest prices for the US Open in August by moving in early.
Last year we would have been on a nice path with that two-pronged attack. We got on Andreesu at Indian Wells, taking odds of 30/1 & 28/1, halfway through the tournament. The Canadian teenager then went on to win big at the US Open, too.
Of course, there now won’t be any Indian Wells 2020 form to test out that theory with at this year’s US Open. But I’ve still got a couple of players that were in my initial notes for this week’s cancelled event.
And if my logic and analysis is in the right ball park, then those names will be worthy of consideration for the Grand Slam tournament in New York at the end of this summer.
I’ll continue on that line of enquiry later in the week. One or two early-bird Grand Slam selections are in prospect.
In the course of that analysis, we may even have the latest contender in our attempt to land a 100/1 shot...
I’ll be back later in the week with more on that early-bird Grand Slam/ US Open analysis. We’ll also be taking a look at some facts & figures from our Ones to Watch tournament picks so far this season.
We’ll give things a few days to see how things develop regarding the coronavirus and the potential impact on upcoming tournaments, with the Miami Open the next big tennis event scheduled for March. Look out for your next email from me on Thursday.