Tennis Betting Advice - May 2018

Two 100/1 shots for Rome…

Sunday 13th May 2018

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Rome Masters – play starts 10am…
  • Two 100/1 shots…
  • Kasatkina can click into gear…

Rome Masters this week…

Our 50/1 shot John Isner bowed out in the ATP Madrid quarter finals last Friday night, with the victor Alexander Zverev going on to take the title.

Zverev has now won Munich and Madrid back to back on clay, and the 21-year-old German is priced at single figures (7/1 in general) to land what would be a remarkable hat-trick by defending his Rome Masters title this week.

As with Isner last week, I’m looking for bigger Each Way prices, and two 100/1 shots get the nod from me in Rome for small stakes, along with one of my favourite players at a plenty fair enough 20/1.

I’m going away for a few days this week, so I’m sending you my Outright Winner picks for Rome this evening (Sunday), with play starting from 10am Monday UK time…

  • The bookies take down their Outright markets during play each day, so you’ll need to get your bets on before the first match at 10am, or once play ends for the day when the markets go back up

Two 100/1 shots…

Starting with the really big prices and my Ones to Watch at 100/1 this week are Diego Schwartzman in the Men’s event, and Irina-Camelia Begu in the Women’s.

Schwartzman put up a good fight against Rafael Nadal last week and has made a name for himself over the last year or so as one of the best returners on the ATP Tour. The 25-year-old Argentinean won the Rio title on clay earlier this year and is up to a career high of No.15 in the world. He has a 2-0 head-to-head record v his 1st Round opponent Nicolas Jarry, with both wins coming this year and both in straight sets. He also has a 1-0 record v potential 2nd Round opponent Benoit Paire.

Schwartzman is a good player and this is his best surface with 398 of his 453 career match wins coming on clay. He rises to the challenge when faced with the big names, and is well worth following as a big price outsider.

In the WTA Rome draw, Begu is one to watch at 100/1. The Romanian made the semi final here two years ago, and just last week beat reigning French Open champion Jelena Ostapenko on clay in Madrid.

Again, we’re looking at a clay court player here with 239 of Begu’s 390 career match wins coming on the red courts. She won Bucharest on clay last year and has reached the Istanbul semi finals on clay this season.

The bottom half of the women’s draw includes Karolina Pliskova (8/1) and Angelique Kerber (28/1). Pliskova has played a lot of tennis lately, with a title win in Stuttgart followed by a semi final run in Madrid last week. The Czech has been in good form but with the French Open just around the corner she won’t want to burn out. Kerber has only played two matches on clay this year and was last seen retiring injured in Stuttgart. Begu beat her here in Rome in 2015.

Kasatkina can click into gear…

Daria Kasatkina gave us a 40/1 place payout in Indian Wells in March and was on our Ones to Watch in 2017 list. The Russian turned 21 just a week ago and I’m certainly not alone in thinking ‘Dasha’ can go on to great things in the years to come. She’s 20/1 this week and I feel she is going to put another tournament run together sooner rather than later.

ATP Rome – Internazionali BNL d’Italia

Outright Winner:

BET: Diego Schwartzman @ 100/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 100/1 (101.00) Bet365, NetBet, 10Bet, 66/1 (67.00) Skybet, William Hill 
STAKE: 0.5 pt – Each Way
Latest odds here

  • Each Way terms: 1/3 odds 1-2 places

WTA Rome – Internazionali BNL d’Italia

Outright Winner:

BET: Irina-Camelia Begu @ 100/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 100/1 (101.00) Skybet, NetBet, 10Bet, 80/1 (81.00) Bet365, William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral, Boylesports, Paddy Power 
STAKE: 0.5 pt – Each Way
Latest odds here

BET: Daria Kasatkina @ 20/1 Each Way
BOOKIES: 20/1 (21.00) Skybet, Ladbrokes, Coral, William Hill, Boylesports 
STAKE: 1 pt – Each Way
Latest odds here

  • Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places

Those three players are my picks for Rome this week. I’m taking a break for a few days now. I’ll be back at the weekend, when we’ll be just a week away from the French Open.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch