Tennis Betting Advice - May 2019

French Open: Match Winner picks at 5/1…

Wednesday 29th May 2019

French Open - Bets of the Day

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • 2nd Round…
  • The Rollover…
  • Play starts 10am…

Good morning and welcome to Day Four of your French Open 2019 daily service.

I’ll be in your inbox by 8am every morning. And if you have any questions or want to drop me a line during the tournament, I’ll be on hand via email.

You can message me at:

Into the 2nd Round…

I don’t know what was up with Anett Kontaveit yesterday. Our 50/1 One to Watch won the first set of her match, but after that is was like someone pulled the power cable out.

Our two other Women’s Outright Winner picks are safely through to the 2nd Round which starts today...

Even though it’s still very early days, the price changes already show why it’s good to get on at the start of the tournament to get the best value:

We’ve got Marketa Vondrousova at 40/1 (now 28/1) and Maria Sakkari at 50/1 (now 40/1).

In the Name the Finalists market we’re on Naomi Osaka/ Karolina Pliskova at 50/1 (now 35/1).

To say it took Osaka a while to warm-up yesterday is an understatement. The World No.1 admitted afterwards that she’d been nervous. She lost the first set 6-0. But the two-time Grand Slam champ showed her class in the end, coming back to win 0-6, 7-6, 6-1. The cold and windy weather conditions didn’t help, either. Naomi didn’t take her jacket off until the third set. The forecast for the next seven days looks better.

In the Men’s Outright Winner market, our outsider pick Lucas Pouille looked good in a 3-0 win to get his tournament underway. From a standout 500/1 yesterday, his top price is now 300/1, with most firms going 150/1.

We’re none from three on match bets so far. But we haven’t been far off and at the odds we’re betting at (5/1, 9/1, 12/1), we don’t need a big strike-rate to end the tournament in good shape. Yesterday’s Set Betting pick on Antoine Hoang almost panned out exactly as planned, with the French underdog winning 3-1 (at 8/1) when we’d backed the 3-2 score at 9/1.

I’ve got an acca for us today…

Match Winner picks…

There are several players that look good in the Match Winner market today. The early rounds of a Grand Slam present the best opportunities of the season to combine match picks in a multiple.

These six pay 5/1+ (6.00+) today:


MARIN CILIC to beat Grigor Dimitrov
Dimitrov has been struggling for form for well over a year now, and only just scraped through a five-set battle in the 1st Round. Cilic leads the head-to-head 4-1. Clay isn’t Cilic’s best surface but he’s made the quarter finals here two years running.

GUIDO PELLA to beat Corentin Moutet
World No.23 Pella is more experienced than Moutet (ranked No.110), and is a clay-court specialist with an eye-catching 21 match wins on clay already this year. His 2019 clay match win-rate is 72%. Pella beat Moutet on clay in their only previous meeting, last year.


DONNA VEKIC to beat Rebecca Peterson
It feels like Vekic has been around for ages but she’s still only 22, and some good results in the last 12 months or so have seen her enter the Top 25. The Croatian has won five of her last seven matches on clay, with the only defeats coming to World No.1 Osaka and the in-form Petra Martic. These two have met once before with Vekic beating Peterson 2-0 at Wimbledon last summer.

ANASTASIJA SEVASTOVA to beat Mandy Minella
This is the World No.12 v the World No.100, and Sevastova should prove too good in this one. Aged 33, Minella has done brilliantly making it back on tour after becoming a mother – but this match is a step up in class compared to most players she’s beaten since making her comeback.

BELINDA BENCIC to beat Laura Siegemund
Siegemund has the clay-court credentials but Bencic is in the form of her life this year, and is far more consistent over the course of a match. Bencic has won six of her last eight on clay, with the only defeats being close 2-1 losses to the in-form Kristina Mladenovic and 2018 French Open winner Simona Halep.

CARLA SUAREZ NAVARRO to beat Shelby Rogers
Rogers has showed signs of form since coming back from a bad injury, but the American’s 84 career match wins on clay pale in comparison to the 200+ track record of Suarez Navarro. The Spaniard had a good win over the dangerous Dayana Yastremska in the 1st Round and the former French Open quarter finalist can progress to the 3rd Round here.

Today’s bet:

Match Winner:

BET: ACCA on the 6 players above to win @ 5/1+
BOOKIES: 5/1+ (6.00+) with BetVictor, Bet365, William Hill, Betway, Boylesports, NetBet, 10Bet

Latest odds here

  • The advice for Accumulators will always be to bet with bookies that void match bets for uncompleted matches. That way we’ll never lose our stake/ potential payout due to a match retirement in any leg of our acca. Find out more about bookies’ rules here
  • Note: Unless otherwise stated, all our bets are 1 point to win. And all our Outright Winner bets are 1 point Each Way (total stake 2 pts)

The Rollover – bet No.2…

Alongside our daily & tournament picks, we’ll be looked to profit from the French Open with our Rollover bet…

The aim is to roll a £10 stake over with match winner selections, cashing-out when we get to the £100 mark.

  • The Rollover advice will always be to bet with bookies that void match bets for uncompleted matches. That way we’ll never lose our stake/ rollover pot due to a match retirement. Find out more about bookies’ rules here

After yesterday’s £10 Double won at 1/2, we have £15 going on today’s selections:

Rollover bet:

  • TREBLE – Stefanos Tsitsipas to beat Hugo Dellien, David Goffin to beat Miomir Kecmanovic & Sloane Stephens to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo @ 9/20 (1.45)

Tsitsipas is up to a career-high No.6 in the world and has a 12-2 record on clay this month with only the Top 2 of Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic managing to beat him.

Goffin looked very good in a 3-0 win in the 1st Round and this is the Grand Slam where he’s always looked the most likely to do well. This match is a big step up for his teenage opponent.

Stephens beat Sorribes Tormo in April and the 2018 French Open runner-up arrives here with five wins from her last seven matches on clay. As I said when backing her for Madrid earlier this month (semi final), Sloane looks to have her game face on since getting a new coach.

The Treble pays around 9/20 (1.45) with Bet365, Betway, William Hill, Betway.

Latest odds here

I’ll be back tomorrow at 8am with your Bets of the Day for Thursday, when the 2nd Round continues.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch