Tennis Betting Advice - October 2021

An update from the Windy City...

Friday 1st October 2021

In Ones to Watch today:

  • WTA Chicago – quarter finals…
  • 22/1 Collins now 8/1…
  • Indian Wells next week…

We’ve got one pick still in the running this week. Our 22/1 shot Danielle Collins is through to the WTA Chicago quarter finals, and now trading at 8/1 or shorter to go all the way.

This is the American’s eighth quarter final of the season; a progressive 2021 campaign that has seen Collins conquer some long-time health issues, and lift the first two WTA trophies of her career.

Chicago is living up to its nickname as the Windy City. As Danielle said after beating Elise Mertens on Thursday:

"It's been tough conditions with the wind. I'm just trying to do my best"

It’s quarter-final day in Chicago today, and it’s a pretty high quality line-up:

Danielle Collins v Marketa Vondrousova

Mai Hontama v Garbine Muguruza

Elina Svitolina v Ons Jabeur

Belinda Bencic v Elena Rybakina

The bookies make our player a slight underdog in the betting, with the 27-year-old world no.28 Collins priced at 11/10 (2.1) to beat 22-year-old world no.41, Vondrousova.

That match is first up on today’s schedule, 3pm UK time (Amazon Prime Video).

Get ready for Indian Wells…

Next week, we’re off to the Californian desert…

Indian Wells makes a welcome return to the tour. Back in March 2020, when the pandemic hit, this was the first high-profile tennis tournament to be cancelled. Some 18 months later, it’s very good to have it back. They call this venue ‘Tennis Paradise’…

Some tournaments lend themselves to shocks and surprises. Indian Wells is one of them…

The punishing conditions in the Californian desert… scorching heat, blustery winds… the large draw, with the top seeds having to play more matches than usual to navigate a route to the final…

It all adds up to prime outsider betting territory. Which is what we specialise in with our Ones to Watch picks.

The Indian Wells women’s tournament begins on Wednesday, 6th October. I’ll be studying the draw, the form, and the markets, and sending out my first big-price Outright Winner picks on Wednesday morning.

And that’s just for the WTA Indian Wells event. The men get underway on Thursday with ATP Indian Wells at the same venue.

This enhanced ‘Masters’ 100-grade event is one of the biggest tournaments on the calendar outside of the four Grand Slams.

In recent years, the prices have been big, too…

In the women’s events alone, we’ve seen:

  • WTA Indian Wells 2019 Final: Bianca Andreescu 100/1 beat Angelique Kerber 16/1
  • WTA Indian Wells 2018 Final: Naomi Osaka 125/1 beat Daria Kasatkina 80/1
  • WTA Indian Wells 2017 Final: Elena Vesnina 100/1 beat Svetlana Kuznetsova 50/1

And in the men’s:

  • ATL Indian Wells 2019 Final: Dominic Thiem 80/1 beat Roger Federer 11/2

Those women’s prices are huge. And with Novak Djokovic missing from the men’s this year, we could see a new and/ or unheralded name on the trophy, in both events.

In 2018, we were on Daria Kasatkina at Indian Wells at 80/1 Each Way, for a 40/1 place payout. And in 2019, we got on Bianca Andreescu at 30/1, halfway through the tournament. I’ll be looking for more of the same.

Tune in next week for all my Indian Wells picks and advice. I’m looking forward to it.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch