Tennis Betting Advice - September 2022

Tonight – your last chance to see Federer…

Friday 23rd September 2022

It’s been a quiet week for me on the tennis – made even more so by both my tournament picks falling in the 1st round at ATP San Diego. At odds of 50/1 – 25/1, that’s going to happen sometimes. It’s never nice though. We’ll be looking for bigger runs from our players next week. More on that in a moment.

Away from the betting, I really enjoyed the headline match of the day at the ATP Metz indoors event yesterday…

Don’t forget Stan…

Stan Wawrinka rolled back the years, beating world no.4 and recent no.1 Daniil Medvedev. Stan might be 37 years old, and currently ranked no.284. But there’s still some of the old magic in that sumptuous one-handed backhand. Wawrinka was a 5/1 underdog to win that match, and while I’m a fan of Medvedev, it was great to see the old pro pull off one of his best wins in years.

Of course, there’s another Swiss veteran with a beautiful one-handed backhand who gets a bit more attention that Stan. And rightly so, seeing as Roger Federer has 20 Grand Slam titles to his name. See below for more on Roger. I do however feel that Wawrinka perhaps hasn’t got the praise he deserves…

Along with Andy Murray, Stan Wawrinka has won three Grand Slams. A magnificent achievement in any era, let alone one that has been dominated by three of the very best players of all time: Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, and Novak Djokovic.

  • Wawrinka Grand Slams: Australian Open 2014, French Open 2015, US Open 2016
  • Highest ranking: world no.3 (2014)

Your last chance to see Federer…

Now, there’s little to no room for sentimentality when it comes to placing bets. But I’m sure many, many people will be cheering on Federer tonight…

Roger has announced that this weekend’s international team Laver Cup event will be the final competitive appearance of his career. As with Serena Williams at the US Open in New York, it’s a great fit to see a legend of the game go out on their own terms, at a venue that means a lot to them.

Federer knows the O2 Arena well; the host venue for the end-of-season ATP Finals for much of his glory years.

And here in London, the Swiss superstar made Centre Court at Wimbledon his second home, lifting the trophy in SW19 a record eight times in his illustrious career. I was lucky enough to be in the stands when Roger won what turned out to be his final Wimbledon title, in 2017.

Along with those eight Wimbledon titles, here are three of my favourite Federer records (and there are lots to choose from):

  • First man to win each of his first 7 Grand Slam finals
  • Longest consecutive run as ATP world no.1 (237 weeks – that’s over four and a half years!)
  • Reached 10 straight Grand Slam finals – and 18 out of 19 between Wimbledon 2005 and Australian Open 2010

Everyone in the O2 will be going Roger-mad this evening, and you can’t blame them. For his last ever match, Federer will be lining-up with his friend and greatest rival, Rafa Nadal. What a doubles dream-team that is – and a fitting send-off for a man that many call the GOAT (‘Greatest Of All Time’)…

Federer & Nadal will represent Team Europe in tonight’s Laver Cup doubles rubber, taking on the all-USA pairing of Jack Sock & Frances Tiafoe for Team World. Sock in particular is a very good doubles player.

As Team World captain John McEnroe said this week, this is a match wherever whoever wins, there won’t be any villains.

The bookies make Federer & Nadal the 8/13 (1.62) favourites. If they can get by on reputation and crowd energy alone, then a fairy-tale win is by no means out of the question. I get the feeling Roger is just happy to be able to play at all, though – he says he’s not fit enough to play a singles match. So, no bet for me, but one to tune in for, 100%...

  • Tonight’s big match is live on Eurosport and Discovery+, scheduled for 8.30pm. Bet365 also have live streaming

Farewell, Roger.

Time waits for no man, and the tennis tours rumble on next week – with no fewer than five tournaments for us to enjoy…

The return of the Sunday night club…

These events all start on Monday, 26th Sept:

Date – Event – Surface:

  • WTA 250 Tallinn, Estonia – Tallinn Open – Indoor Hard
  • WTA 250 Parma, Italy – Parma Ladies Open – Clay
  • ATP 250 Sofia, Bulgaria – Sofia Open – Indoor Hard
  • ATP 250 Tel Aviv, Israel – Tel Aviv Watergen Open – Indoor Hard
  • ATP 250 Seoul, South Korea – Eugene Korea Open Tennis Championships – Hard

With a variety of time differences to consider there, I’ll be doing a ‘Sunday Night Club’ edition of Ones to Watch this weekend. With the aim being to get our first Outright Winner bets of the week down nice and early, scooping up the best prices before play begins.

I’ll be working with what markets and prices the bookies put up by Sunday evening, so I can’t put an exact time on that email right now. To be honest, it might be quite late on Sunday night. I’ll send it out as soon as I’ve written it. And if you don’t see it until Monday AM, at least you’ll know it’ll be in your inbox when you wake up.

See you on Sunday night…

Enjoy the tennis. I’ll certainly be tuning in to get one last glimpse of Federer tonight.

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch