Tennis Betting Advice - September 2024

Serve it up in Chengdu at 9/1…

Wednesday 18th September 2024

Good afternoon. The men are in China this week with two hard-court tournaments, both of which got underway this morning (UK time). We’re getting behind a big server at ATP Chengdu…

The young Frenchman, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard came through a three-set scrap in round one. And after a tough run of results after Wimbledon, that could be just the tonic that the 6’8” player needed…

The 21-year-old rained down an impressive 34 aces in today’s win. And after becoming only the seventh man in history to serve 50+ aces in a match earlier this summer, Giovanni looks able to take advantage of fast playing conditions in Chengdu this week…

On the edge of the top 50 in the rankings right now, having started the season just outside the world’s top 200. Mpetshi Perricard is having a breakthrough year on tour, including a first ATP title (winning in Lyon on clay as a 33/1 shot, back in May).

Before a ball was hit in China this week, the tall Frenchman was around 12/1 for the Chengdu title. After that 1st-round win earlier today, along with the early exit of one of the bigger names, 6th seed Lorenzo Sonego. Giovanni’s outright odds are now 7/1+, with 8/1 and 9/1 available (see below). Given the scale and level of playing field at this ATP 250 event, those prices are okay with me from here…

  • On the lower-tier ATP Challenger circuit, Mpetshi Perricard has won 3 titles this season – all on hard courts (one indoors)

On the drift in Seoul…

On the women’s tour, our other Outright Winner, Each Way business this week is with Yue Yuan at WTA Seoul. You can catch up on Monday’s article here.

In what is a rare situation for our Ones to Watch picks, Yue Yuan’s price has today drifted. From 40/1 on Monday, to 66/1 today. Maybe the bookies really like Emma Raducanu’s chances of beating our player in the next round. But I don’t agree so firmly.

  • The caveat with that price drift is that the Seoul (Korea Open) outright market is now trading at 1/3 odds Each Way for reaching the final. Whereas we got the standard and preferred terms of 1/2 odds. Still, a place payout at 66/1 at a third of the odds is still bigger than half the odds at 40s… so, if you’re not on Yue Yuan yet, now would be the time to do it. As I write, BetVictor are 70/1

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Ones to Watch picks:

See above for full details

ATP Chengdu – Chengdu Open

Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):

  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard @ 9/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, 8/1 BetVictor, Betfred, Betway, Unibet, BetUK, BetMGM, LiveScoreBet, 7/1 Bet365, Skybet, William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Boylesports

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Thursday’s play at ATP Chengdu begins from 6am UK time. Bookies will take down their Outright Winner markets during each day’s matches.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch