OTW Extra Email Archive - February 2018
When the ‘Bet Void’ rule comes to the rescue…
Thursday 22nd February 2018
In your Ones to Watch EXTRA email today:
Welcome to this week’s edition of your new free tennis email, Ones to Watch EXTRA.
Every week you get my updates on the latest player form, tournament winners & prices. Plus my dedicated free ‘Ones to Watch’ reports and player lists throughout the season.
Price Watch – a 50/1 finalist after switching back…
Last week’s tournaments were largely dominated by the big names – most notably 36-year-old Roger Federer rocking up and winning in Rotterdam to become the oldest ever Men’s World No.1. The legend continues.
Price-wise the big result of interest last week was Aljaz Bedene, a 50/1 runner-up in Buenos Aires. Bedene recently made the switch back to representing Slovenia, after failing to be granted status to play for Great Britain in the Davis Cup. That was the third ATP final of Bedene’s career – and the third time he’s come runner-up.
Here are last week’s trophy winners, runners-up and pre-tournament Outright Winner prices in full:
WTA Doha
Winner: P.Kvitova (12/1)
Runner-up: G.Muguruza (14/1)
ATP Buenos Aires
Winner: D.Thiem (5/2)
Runner-up: A.Bedene (50/1)
ATP New York
Winner: K.Anderson (5/1)
Runner-up: S.Querrey (6/1)
ATP Rotterdam
Winner: R.Federer (11/10)
Runner-up: G.Dimitrov (8/1)
Form Watch – Rublev rising…
Andrey Rublev is one of 10 players on our Ones to Watch in 2018 list…
The 20-year-old Russian won his first ATP tournament last season – and he’s started the new season in promising form…
Rublev reached the final in Doha in his first tournament of the year, finishing runner-up. He went out to Top 5 player Grigor Dimitrov at the Australian Open, before notching up respectable quarter final runs in both Montpellier and Rotterdam.
That run has propelled Rublev up to a career high ranking of No.31 in the new ATP World Rankings published this week.
The young Russian is on the rise. We’ll be keeping an eye out for good prices on Rublev in upcoming tournaments.
Spare a thought for Dustin Brown…
Last but certainly not least today, spare a thought for our old friend Dustin Brown.
The dreadlocked entertainer gave us a 7/1 winner when knocking Rafael Nadal out of Wimbledon in 2015.
Brown was in the news again a couple of weeks ago, for pulling out of a match injured when just one game from victory. He was 7-6, 5-2 up against Nicolas Mahut in Montpellier, when a back injury struck him down.
Forced to retire, Brown left the court in tears. If you watch this video clip from 30 seconds in you can see the incident, and the match coming to a premature end.
I’m assuming the internet ‘trolls’ who criticised Brown didn’t see the incident. A few people were quick to suggest foul play – with the betting implications in mind…
If you’d backed Mahut (who was losing) to win with the likes of Betfred or Betfair, you’d have landed a rather surprising Match Winner payout there. Those bookies pay out on the ‘winning player’ as long as one set has been completed. Brown’s injury occurred in the 2nd set. If you’d backed Brown, you’d have gone from being nearly-winning to realising that your bet had in fact lost.
When the ‘Bet Void’ rule comes to the rescue…
However, if you’d backed either player with a bookie that uses the ‘Bet Void’ rule, you’d have had your stakes returned. Money back on Brown, money back on Mahut. Seems fair to me.
You can view a list of the bookies I recommend for that very reason on the Bookies page on our website. Lesser-known names like 10Bet are worth a particular mention as you might not have thought to use them before.
Take a look at the Bet Void bookies list here
I’ll be back next week with more tennis betting info, form and advice for you.
Enjoy the tennis...
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson