OTW Extra Email Archive - February 2024

Notes from the tour - week 7...

Thursday 15th February 2024

Form and momentum are funny things…

Hard to put your finger on…

But sometimes, it can pay to keep it really simple:

Follow the guy in form…

Young Italian on the march in Argentina…

The player I’m thinking of today is Luciano Darderi. A 22-year-old Italian who’s having one of those seemingly out-of-the-blue breakthrough moments on the ATP Tour…

Last week, young Darderi - still very much a newcomer at full-level weekly ATP events - blasted through the Cordoba draw in Argentina. Winning his first title. With a seven-match burst of match victories, coming through the qualifying rounds, then going all the way.

Having seen how he performed and carried himself during and after his maiden ATP trophy win, I’d say that result was no flash in the pan.

Darderi has stayed put in Argentina this week, moving on from Cordoba to Buenos Aires. Where he’s so far backed-up last week’s big run, posting yet another clay-court victory - with a resounding 6-2, 6-1 win in the 1st round.

The new world no.76 plays again tonight. And interestingly, he takes on one of the higher-ranked and better-known players that he beat last week in Cordoba. Coming up against Argentina’s world no.30 Sebastian Baez, for the second time in just five days.

Darderi came out on top in three sets in their semi-final clash the other day. And at odds-against prices, I feel there’s value in siding with the new, young, in-form player tonight…

Luciano can be backed as the odds-against underdog to beat Baez.

The match is scheduled for around 11pm, UK time. You can watch live on the new Sky Sports Tennis channel/ red button. As well as with a funded account with bookies such as Bet365 and Skybet.

ATP Buenos Aires - IEB+ Argentina Open

Match Winner:

  • Luciano Darderi to beat Sebastian Baez @ 11/8 (2.38) Skybet, Bet365, BetVictor, 13/10 (2.3) William Hill, LiveScoreBet, Boylesports, 5/4 (2.25) Betway

Discover more exciting young players to follow in the betting markets this season, in your FREE Ones to Watch in 2024 Report - view it here.

Coming up next week on the tours…

Next week we have the second prestigious ‘Masters’ WTA 1000 event of the season, with the top female players heading to Dubai

Along with three men’s events starting Monday: ATP Rio de Janeiro, ATP Doha, and ATP Los Cabos…

Plenty to look forward to…

I’ll be back with more tennis betting info for you next week…

P.S
Want to get hold of all my big-price outsider bets, all season long? Not a member yet? Then sign-up to my full Ones to Watch service here.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch