Tennis Betting Advice - April 2018

Saver bets for today’s semi finals…

Saturday 14th April 2018

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • ATP Houston – play starts 7pm…
  • 33/1 Sandgren and 18/1 Johnson…
  • Saver bets for the semi finals…

Sandgren and Johnson in the semi finals…

It may have been Friday 13th, but our ‘luck’ was in yesterday with both our ATP Houston underdog picks winning their quarter final matches.

In fact, all four of the Houston quarters were won by the outsiders in the betting last night. Leaving our two Outright Winner selections looking good on the prices:

Tenny Sandgren @ 33/1 Each Way – now 7/2 (4.50)

Steve Johnson @ 18/1 Each Way – now 2/1 (3.00) favourite

Sandgren has proved a good outsider pick this week, reaching his first ever ATP Tour semi final. He faces the big-serving 39-year-old Ivo Karlovic this evening for a place in the final (7pm+).

Karlovic is the oldest man to make an ATP semi final since Jimmy Connors in 1993.

Sandgren is higher-ranked but the vastly-experienced Karlovic is the bookies’ match favourite, at 8/11 (1.73).

Johnson is the reigning champ and after seeing off top seed John Isner last night, our man is now the tournament favourite. We made a good move yesterday by backing Johnson at 18/1 or 16/1. He faces another American in tonight’s semi final (8.30pm+), Taylor Fritz.

Fritz appeared on our Ones to Watch in 2017 list and has made a step up in form so far this season.

The higher-ranked Johnson is the match favourite, with his younger opponent Fritz at 6/5 (2.20).

Saver bets for today…

If Sandgren and/ or Johnson win today, then we will have Each Way payouts (at least) to look forward to from the final.

Having staked a total of 1 pt each on Sandgren and Johnson (0.5 pt Each Way), the ‘saver bet’ advice today is a bet on each of their opponents to win the semi finals, to recoup those original stakes.

We have more to gain from a Sandgren win and Karlovic is the favourite to beat him, so we’re staking more on that one.

SAVER BETS – only place if you backed Sandgren/ Johnson as previously advised:

ATP Houston – US Men’s Clay Court Championship

BET: Ivo Karlovic to beat Tennys Sandgren @ 8/11
BOOKIES: 8/11 (1.73) Bet365, William Hill, Boylesports, BetVictor, Betway
STAKE: 2 pts
Latest odds here

BET: Taylor Fritz to beat Steve Johnson @ 6/5
BOOKIES: 6/5 (2.20) Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor, SunBets
STAKE: 1 pt
Latest odds here

Today’s play in Houston starts from 7pm UK time.

Enjoy the tennis...

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch