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Notes from the tour - week 15...

Wednesday 10th April 2024

A game of Under or Over…

Hubert Hurkacz is the best server in men’s tennis right now…

A former Wimbledon semi-finalist. After lifting the first ATP clay-court title of his career in Estoril last week, the 27-year-old Pole is up to a new career-high ranking of no.8 in the world.

Hubi – as they call him – is on a roll…

And while no player is just about one shot. You can’t ignore Hurkacz’s serving stats:

  • Hurkacz is the current Ace leader on the ATP Tour in 2024. And finished in 1st place on that chart last season, too – breaking the 1,000+ Aces in a calendar year mark…

As I write, the 6’5” right-hander is through to the Last 16 of this week’s Monte Carlo Masters. Where he’ll take on world no.10 and two-time French Open runner-up, Casper Ruud…

That match will take place on Thursday…

Hurkacz’s stats and formbook say to look out for opportunities to bet on his matches going ‘Over’ in the Total Games market…

All major bookmakers offer this market. With the standard line for a men’s ATP, best-of-three-sets match being Under/ Over around 21.5 Games.

Powered by his big serve, the only option you should be looking to take in that market for Hurkacz matches right now is the ‘Over’ one…

  • The Total Games tallies in Hubert Hurkacz’s last 15 matches (most recent first): 25, 32, 19, 27, 23, 23, 31, 35, 32, 27, 31, 23, 39, 39, 35

As those tallies show, even when the bookies (or spread betting firms) bump up the Total Games ‘Over’ line to 22 or 23 games, Hubi is regularly covering it – and often with room to spare.

Back to that upcoming match in Monte Carlo this week…

  • Hurkacz and Casper Ruud have met once before in a best-of-three-sets format. The Total Games score? 29 games… 

Master the field…

An Under/ Over market like that only gives you two betting options to choose from. In a Major tournament like the Augusta Masters golf, which tees off on Thursday – 89 men line up on day one…

Navigating your way through an 89-player betting field is tough. It would be wise to seek some expert assistance…

Step forward, the Golf Insider. I can’t think of a better person to recommend you listen to, on the eve of the biggest tournament in the sport…

See for yourself here… (and don’t miss the first Masters picks)…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch