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Notes from the Tour: My 100/1 spreadsheet...

Thursday 30th October 2025

When I first started out in this business, one of the best bits of advice I was given was to do your own research - and keep your own records…

I spent a good few hours this week updating my Tournament Calendar document. In which I make note of the Outright Winner odds for over 100 ATP, WTA, and Grand Slam tennis tournaments every year…

Monitoring not just the players, but the prices, too…

This allows me to keep track of - among other things - the number of 100/1 shots getting to finals every season. Something that I’m very interested in…

Numbers to drool over…

For example, here’s one of my favourite findings - and this is based on numbers going back 10 years and counting:

  • On average, around one in 10 tournaments end up with a 100/1 player in the final (10% of tournaments)

This year’s numbers are slightly up on that…

With a handful of events still to come, there have already been 14 such 100/1+ finalists in 2025 (13% of tournaments on average).

In comparison, there were 11 of those triple-figure finalists last season (9%)... eight in 2023 (7%)... and 12 in 2022 (12%).

It’s not just long-shot 100/1 glory days we go after here at Ones to Watch. The 20/1, 33/1 and 50/1+ figures for 2025 make for exciting reading, too:

Average Prices of Tournament Finalists

We’re near the end of the season. But it’s not over yet…

Here’s what’s still to come next week and beyond, before the 2026 schedule tees off in the very first week of January:

November/ December 2025 Tennis Schedule

What happens if you follow all my 100/1+ Ones to Watch picks?

My 100/1 spreadsheet constantly encourages me in the search for the next big upset, surprise package, or teenage rising star…

When it comes to actually picking them out and betting on them, of course - the proof is in the pudding…

It’s a long-term game, that’s for sure.

With more losing bets than winners, absolutely. Patience is required - and an iron gut.

But I was chatting to a guy in finance the other day, and he said he’d be very happy with a 26.66% ROI

Ones to Watch 100/1 Tournament Picks ROI%

It’s tortoise and the hare stuff… but we know who won that race…

If you’re already a Ones to Watch follower, you’ll know the mantra: keep the faith…

And if you’re NOT yet a member, then you can join us in the wild and wonderful world of 100/1 tennis betting, right here…

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Oliver Upstone

Ones to Watch