Tennis Betting Advice - August 2021
An Olympic champion at 100/1...
Tuesday 10th August 2021
In Ones to Watch today:
The women’s game is where we go looking for many of our big-odds picks. The day one action at WTA Montreal saw seven out of 12 victories for the underdogs (58%). Including a couple of injury retirements, and odds of 5/2 (3.5), 11/4 (3.75), and 7/2 (4.5) paying out in the Match Winner markets.
Two of those against-the-odds results went the wrong way for us, with Shelby Rogers beaten by Anastasia Potapova, and Ajla Tomljanovic retiring injured at one-set-all with Fiona Ferro. Rogers and Tomljanovic had been 100/1 picks in yesterday’s Outright Winner preview. It’s never nice to lose your players straight away, but it very much comes with the territory of our outsider betting approach.
WTA Montreal – Ones to Watch at 28/1, 80/1, and 100/1…
Sticking with the women’s event in Canada, and not afraid to take on the big names and shorter prices at the top of the seedings list, I have three other players to add to the Montreal book today.
This is a big tournament, and as we always say with our Ones to Watch outsider selections, at the attractive Each Way odds we go for – it only takes one…
Danielle Collins featured heavily in Monday’s analysis, and went in the book at 50/1 & 40/1 for the upcoming US Open. The American has won 10 matches in a row, securing back-to-back titles – the first WTA Singles trophies of her career.
Following on from what I said yesterday, Collins is very much in the running for Montreal, and will go off as the favourite against Jil Belen Teichmann. The Swiss has lost eight of her last 10 matches, as well as handing her opponent a walkover last time out.
By the time Collins steps on court tonight (11.30pm+ UK time), she’ll have had the best part of 48 hours to recover and reset after Sunday’s trophy-winning exploits in San Jose, California. In the gruelling schedules of the tennis world, that’s about as much time as you can expect to get.
At odds of 28/1, I’m adding Collins to this week’s picks, to go alongside our 50/1 New York wager. If Danielle keeps the momentum rolling this week, then we don’t want to miss out. And with star name Simona Halep coming in cold as the seeded opponent in the next round, if Collins gets there, she can put her new-found top form to the test against a possibly undercooked higher-ranked opponent.
For really big outsider prices – two women that we’ve backed at massive odds already this summer…
Katerina Siniakova was a 100/1+ pick of mine at Wimbledon (3rd round). Since then, she’s gone on to win Gold at the Olympics, taking 1st place in the Women’s Doubles for the Czech Republic, alongside one of my Olympics Singles selections, Barbora Krejcikova.
Siniakova is currently the world’s no.1-ranked women’s Doubles player. Interestingly though, she isn’t entered in the Doubles competition here in Montreal. That might just set the 25-year-old up for a good run here in the Singles. She started well yesterday, with a 2-0 win over the dangerous if unreliable Jelena Ostapenko.
Katerina can play on her own on court, that’s for sure. A former youngster on our Ones to Watch lists, she was a 25/1 Singles winner for us on the WTA Tour back in summer 2017. More recently, she made the final at Bad Homburg in the run-up to Wimbledon.
Garbine Muguruza stands in the way this evening, but the Spaniard sometimes makes life hard for herself with unforced errors. And seeing as Siniakova won their previous meeting, on hard courts in Wuhan in 2018, I don’t see a shock as being too far off the cards here.
That being the case, I’m going aggressive with Siniakova at 100/1 in the tournament market, and 11/4 to upset Muguruza tonight.
The other player I want to add at massive odds is our 66/1 Olympics long-shot, Sara Sorribes Tormo. The Spaniard is having the season of her life, winning a first WTA title, and breaking into the world’s top 50. As we discussed ahead of Japan, Sorribes Tormo is a tough and tricky opponent for anyone right now.
Sara has won 74% of her hard-court matches this year. At odds of 80/1, she’s every inch an outsider worth following.
Ones to Watch
WTA Montreal – National Bank Open:
Outright Winner – Each Way
Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places.
Play starts from 4pm UK time. Bookies will take down their Outright Winner markets during play. You can watch all of the matches live on Amazon Prime Video.
Enjoy the tennis…