Tennis Betting Advice - August 2021
Wednesday 11th August 2021
In Ones to Watch today:
The late-night training has begun. No, I haven’t taken up midnight hot yoga. I’m preparing myself for the upcoming US Open in New York, and the five-hour time difference that comes with it…
I’m not complaining. And when the player you’ve backed wins their match, a lack of sleep doesn’t sting so bad…
That was the case last night, with Danielle Collins coming from a set down to beat Jil Belen Teichmann in Montreal. That three-set match took me to 2am. During the action, I consumed a whole packed of my favourite German biscuits, Choco Leibniz (other biscuit brands are available!). At least I’m not into energy drinks.
After a false start for my Each Way, Outright Winner picks on Monday, it was good to see our players get up and running yesterday…
As well as Danielle Collins in the book at 28/1 for WTA Montreal (and 50/1 for the US Open). We’re on Sara Sorribes Tormo at 80/1 – the Spaniard won her 1st round match in straight sets on Tuesday.
And at a giant 100/1, we have Katerina Siniakova. The Czech landed a nice 11/4 upset in the Match Winner betting yesterday evening, beating former world no.1 and two-time Grand Slam champion, Garbine Muguruza. With a rollercoaster score-line typical of the WTA – 6-2, 0-6, 6-3.
This morning’s updated Montreal tournament prices show just how much things can alter after a day’s play:
28/1 Collins – now 18/1 in general
80/1 Sorribes Tormo – now 40/1
100/1 Siniakova – now 28/1
Lucky Losers in Toronto…
Talking of price shifts, the men’s National Bank Open prices were blown to smithereens last night. Especially in the bottom half of the draw, with ATP Toronto 2nd seed and 7/2 (4.5) tournament joint-favourite Rafael Nadal withdrawing injured without hitting a ball.
That news has really shaken the market up. For example, Reilly Opelka – a man we’ve backed two weeks running to no avail – is in this section of the Toronto draw. Opelka has won through the opening two rounds, and instead of potentially facing Rafa next, Reilly will now take on Lloyd Harris, or Feliciano Lopez. With Lopez parachuted into the draw as a Lucky Loser to replace Nadal.
Rule 4 Reduction?
At the start of the week, Opelka was 150/1 in the Outright Winner betting. He’s now as short as 14/1. I wonder if the bookmakers will apply a ‘Rule 4 Reduction’ to whoever makes the final in Toronto? It’s common in horse racing, to level up the market when a favourite drops out at late notice. Bet365’s tennis Outright rules state that:
Player must play 1 point in the tournament for bets to stand. Bets on any player not taking part in the tournament will be void. Markets may be subject to a Rule 4 (Deductions).
That’s all from me today. Amazon Prime Video are continuing to show all the WTA Montreal and ATP Toronto matches this week, live every evening, and also via replay. We’ve got three women running for us at attractive Each Way prices – and that’s exactly how we like it…
Enjoy the tennis…