Tennis Betting Advice - August 2022
50/1 catches the eye in Toronto...
Thursday 11th August 2022
We started the week with six Each Way picks in Canada, and we reach Thursday with three of those still in contention…
In the Outright Winner market for ATP Montreal we have Hubert Hurkacz and Cameron Norrie, each backed at 33/1 – 25/1.
After a day of men’s upsets yesterday, including the exit of both top seed and world no.1 Daniil Medvedev, and 2nd seed Carlos Alcaraz. Along with 3rd seed Stefanos Tsitsipas and 5th seed Andrey Rublev also sent packing. The tournament betting has been blown wide open. Our man Hurkacz now trades at 15/2 (8.5), with Norrie at 14/1 (15.0).
In the women’s, at WTA Toronto, we have Jessica Pegula in the book at 50/1 – 33/1. The American is through to the Last 16, and now 14/1 for the trophy.
Get behind our players today…
In today’s Match Winner markets, I’m getting behind our players once again, and backing Hurkacz, Norrie & Pegula to all win. It’s too early in my book to play the ‘saver bet’ angle – we’re not even at the quarter finals yet – and I fancy our players’ chances to come through these three matches:
ATP Montreal:
Hubert Hurkacz to beat Albert Ramos-Vinolas – Hurkacz won their only previous meeting, which incidentally was on clay, which is actually Ramos-Vinolas’ best surface. Here in Montreal on hard courts, the Spaniard has so far taken out David Goffin and Diego Schwartzman – neither of whom possess the serving and shot-making power of Hubert.
Cameron Norrie to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime – the young Canadian doesn’t always deliver when the pressure is on, and Norrie has been in sublime form so far this week. Cam won their most recent meeting, just last week in the Los Cabos semi final, finally breaking a four-match losing streak against Felix. Norrie has the edge here for me, and he’s the slight underdog in the betting at 11/10 (2.1).
WTA Toronto:
Jessica Pegula to beat Camila Giorgi – the Italian has fired into form again this week with a pair of 2-0 wins in the opening rounds. Pegula is a different prospect today though, with the American’s consistent hitting potentially a deciding factor against the aggressive but hit-or-miss Giorgi. The head-to-head certainly paints it that way, 5-2 to Pegula for their pro careers overall, and 3-1 to Jessica on the WTA Tour.
50/1 catches the eye…
Elsewhere in Pegula’s side of the Toronto draw, my underdog antenna is twitching for one of our frequent Ones to Watch outsider picks, Jil Belen Teichmann. I’ve described the left-handed Swiss as enigmatic before; a player capable of springing into form regardless of what the formbook might say – and also with the handy knack of being able to raise her game when taking on big-name opponents…
After Jil took out 2nd seed and world no.2 Anett Kontaveit in the last round, I was expecting to look at the revised Outright Winner prices this morning and feel that we had missed the boat. But pleasingly, that’s not the case, with 50/1 available as I write. She’ll need to overcome former world no.1 Simona Halep today in order to reach the quarter finals. But I say, Jil has a taste for occasions like this, and the upset is certainly not out of the question.
Should Teichmann take out the big name today, her next opponent will be Aryna Sabalenka or Coco Gauff. That match might turn into a long, messy one today…
Sabalenka crashed 16 Double Faults off her racket in her opening match here, following on from an alarming 20+ Double Faults in both of her matches in San Jose last week. Gauff was also in double figures in her last match, serving 13 Double Faults. Two of the previous three meetings between this pair have gone to three sets. They might punch each other out. And Teichmann might just be waiting in the wings to take advantage.
Note: Bet365 have got a range of Total Double Faults options available for Sabalenka v Gauff. Including 20+ Double Faults in the match at 11/8 (2.38), and 25+ at 9/2 (5.5).
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Ones to Watch picks:
Match Winner:
WTA Toronto – National Bank Open presented by Rogers
Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):
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Play starts from 4pm UK time. Amazon Prime Video has live coverage of all the matches in Montreal and Toronto.
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson