Tennis Betting Advice - February 2021

Quarter Final - Mertens in Melbourne tonight...

Wednesday 3rd February 2021

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • WTA Gippsland Trophy – quarter finals…
  • ATP Great Ocean Road Open…
  • ATP Murray River Open…

Our first 100/1+ attempt for the year, Kwon Soon-woo, fell in the 2nd round at the Great Ocean Road Open last night.

We’ll be going again at the giant prices throughout the season, when the right players catch the eye.

Three picks in action…

We’ve got three of this week’s four Outright Winner picks still standing in Melbourne…

At the Gippsland Trophy, 16/1 Elise Mertens is into the quarter finals, and now down to 7/1 for the title. Mertens takes on Elina Svitolina overnight.

In the two men’s tournaments, we’ve got a player in each:

At the Great Ocean Road Open, 22/1 Kevin Anderson has won through the first two rounds in straight sets, and is yet to drop his serve. Things get tougher from now on. Big Kev faces Karen Khachanov, with a place in the quarter finals up for grabs.

The bookmakers now have Anderson trading at 12/1 and as short as 6/1 to go all the way this week.

And at the Murray River Open, our man Borna Coric, backed on Tuesday at 33/1 and 20/1+, recorded a good 2-0 win in his opening match of the season last night. Coric’s Outright price has now been chopped to around 10/1.

Next up is the match we built this Coric pick on: the Croatian faces Aussie star Nick Kyrgios. This was all about price, remember. And compared to Nick’s 6/1 quote this week, we’re on Borna at much tastier odds.

I wouldn’t swap…

In the Match Winner markets, the oddsmakers have all three of the matches in question down as close affairs…

Mertens v Svitolina is priced up as a pick ‘em, at 10/11 (1.91) each.

Anderson is trading as the 4/6 (1.67) favourite to beat Khachanov.

Coric is the 8/11 (1.73) market leader v Kyrgios.

I’m happy with the players we’re sending into battle here. I wouldn’t swap our Outright tickets at the prices we got for any of their three respective opponents.

Svitolina, Khachanov, and Kyrgios all fall into the ‘hard to trust’ category for me. And that comes from producing let-downs at short prices a few too many times. At the start of the week, those three were 12/1, 6/1, and 6/1 in the Outright markets. In comparison, our three players & prices represent value.

It’s nearly time for the main event in Melbourne, the Australian Open. I’ll be back before the weekend with all the info you need from me, before play starts on Sunday night.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch