Tennis Betting Advice - February 2021
Australian Open: Day 3 - The Perfect 10 at 30/1...
Tuesday 9th February 2021
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Welcome to Day 3 of your Ones to Watch Australian Open daily service…
We’re only two days in, but we’ve already seen an early contender for match of the tournament…
Don’t be fooled by the 2-0 score-line in Elina Svitolina’s win over our pick Marie Bouzkova last night. The 6-3, 7-6 scoreboard doesn’t show the full story.
It was a fantastic match. Well worth staying up for. Even if we didn’t get the result we were looking for.
There were stacks of epic rallies, and the level was really, really high. That’s the best I’ve seen Svitolina play in a long time.
Bouzkova was excellent, too. Our Czech underdog pick had a set point to take the match to a decider, but she couldn’t quite knock Svitolina off her perch.
The long game…
The positive takeaway for me there? One day, I reckon Bouzkova will put together a deep run at a Grand Slam…
I’ve now backed Marie at the last two hard-court Majors: 500/1 this week, and 150/1 at the US Open last year. She’s on our 2021 list of young & improving players. The 22-year-old remains very much ‘one to watch.’
At those kinds of massive prices, as I stated ahead of yesterday’s Outright Winner picks, you have to be happy to wait for a player to come good. That’s fine with me. But it’s a word of warning if you’re new to Ones to Watch.
You’ll never hear me promising overnight riches. Although that doesn’t mean we won’t be trying…
Attempting the Perfect 10…
As an unwritten rule, there are only four times a year that you’ll see me entertain the notion of a big-price accumulator on the tennis. And that’s at the four Grand Slams…
The early rounds of the Majors give us a huge match list to shoot at, with everyone keen to produce their A-game, to collect the biggest prize money on the biggest stage.
Tonight’s first wave of 2nd round matches at the Australian Open contains a total of 32 match-ups across the men’s & women’s Singles draws. Here are 10 players that, in my opinion, can deliver on their Match Winner odds:
If you like the look of that list, then the 10-fold acca pays a top-price 30/1. Or pick and choose any that you prefer. I’ve included my notes above, so you can see my thinking.
Note: for Match Winner accas, I always recommended using a bookie that goes by the ‘bet void’ rule in the event of a match retirement. That way, if one of our players retires during their match, they will drop out of the accumulator – rather than bringing it crashing down. More on this topic here. Always check the terms & conditions with whichever bookmaker you use.
The 10-match combo is ambitious, of course. But if there’s ever a time to land one of these, it’s a Grand Slam.
As well as the full-house attempt, I also like the two biggest prices on that list as Singles. Those being Adrian Mannarino to beat Miomir Kecmanovic at Evens (2.0). And Taylor Fritz to beat Reilly Opelka at 4/5 (1.8).
Elsewhere on the Day 3 schedule, if it’s pure entertainment you’re after, then two matches to tune into late at night or first thing in the morning are Aryna Sabalenka v Daria Kasatkina in the women’s, and Nick Kyrgios v Ugo Humbert in the men’s…
Sabalenka v Kasatkina is power v grace, ball-thumping v slices & dropshots. The head-to-head is 1-1. Should be fun.
Kyrgios is likely to provide fireworks as usual, with the home crowd behind him. French left-hander Humbert was one of the most improved players on the tour last season. The bookies make it just about 50-50, with the slight edge to the Australian big name.
Kyrgios has a winning career record against lefties, so that’s in his favour. This match could snake either way, though.
Ones to Watch:
Play starts from Midnight.
I’ll be back at 5pm tomorrow with my Day 4 analysis, picks and advice for you.
If you have any questions or want to drop me a line during the tournament, I’m on hand via email. You can message me at: firstname.lastname@example.org
Enjoy the tennis…