Tennis Betting Advice - February 2021

Going in again at 4/1...

Wednesday 24th February 2021

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Mertens pulls out…
  • Sevastova v Teichmann tonight…
  • Kwon Soon-woo v Uchiyama tomorrow…

I stayed up last night to watch the Anastasija Sevastova match…

We’d anticipated that Elise Mertens might’ve been feeling the burn after a busy February schedule Down Under. And so it must’ve proved, as the Belgian didn’t even make it out on court for the match. Mertens withdrew from the WTA Adelaide field, replaced in the draw at the last minute by Lucky Loser, Christina McHale.

Sevastova went onto get the job done, although in terms of our 5/1 match pick and yesterday’s betting, that’s irrelevant, with all bets void for Mertens v Sevastova.

Going in again at 4/1…

The tricky Latvian moves on to the quarter finals, and is first up on the schedule again – which means a 12.30am start, UK time…

Anastasija Sevastova v Jil Belen Teichmann

Teichmann is a player I’ve backed a few times before, and she’s capable of punching above her weight. I’m struggling to see why she’s as short as the 4/7 (1.57) favourite to win here though.

Sevastova is 6/5 (2.2). But this feels like a close one. And considering the Swiss player went to three sets last night, and Sevastova had a tight opening set v McHale, I see this match as a prime contender for another three-set women’s battle.

I’m sticking with Anastasija to carve it out eventually, and 4/1 (5.0) for the 2-1 win is nice enough price.

Kwon Soon-woo v Yasutaka Uchiyama

Off to the ATP Singapore event for a men’s match on Thursday morning now…

This is South Korea v Japan, and these two have met twice before in Asia – with Kwon Soon-woo coming out a 2-1 victor on both occasions. In Seoul in 2019, and in Kobe in 2017.

Ones to Watch in 2021 name Kwon Soon-woo had a three-set win yesterday, and had a busy week last week, reaching the final of the ATP Challenger event in Biella, Italy. That was played on indoor hard courts, as is this Singapore tournament.

Uchiyama also came through the 1st round here in Singapore in a three-set clash, and I can see this one going the same way as their two previous encounters…

Kwon Soon-woo is 3/10 (1.3) to win, but the 2-1 Set Betting score at 3/1 (4.0) has the ring of valid percentage pick to me. This match could be a bit of a scrap.

Undone by the Cerundolo brothers…

It’s never nice to lose all our Outright Winner picks early in the week. It doesn’t happen often. But that’s the case this week with my Each Way selections across the Singapore, Montpellier and Cordoba events…

At ATP Cordoba, our pair of 50/1 shots – Gianluca Mager, and Thiago Seyboth Wild – were knocked out by the Cerundolo brothers. The 22-year-old Francisco and 19-year-old Juan Manuel could both prove ones to watch on the clay this season and beyond.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mager and Seyboth Wild fare better again soon, though. This is only week one of the 2021 clay-court campaign – it’s Buenos Aires next week – and I’m expecting a few big-odds finalists to emerge during the tour’s Golden Swing in South America.

With hard-court tournaments in Lyon, Doha, and Rotterdam next week, as well as on the clay in Buenos Aires, we’ll be going again with the big-price pursuit. My first look at the Outright Winner prices will be on Sunday evening.

Ones to Watch:

WTA Adelaide

Match scheduled 12.30am

Set Betting:

  • Anastasija Sevastova to win 2-1 v Jil Belen Teichmann is 9/2 (5.5) with Sportingbet, Bwin, 17/4 (5.25) Ladbrokes, Coral, 4/1 (5.0) Bet365, Skybet

ATP Singapore

Match scheduled 11.30am

Set Betting:

  • Kwon Soon-woo to win 2-1 v Yasutaka Uchiyama is 3/1 (4.0) with Bet365, Ladbrokes, Coral, Sportingbet, Bwin

I’ll be back ahead of the weekend, with my next update.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch