20/1 and 33/1 picks for ATP Acapulco…

Tuesday 22nd February 2022

I said it’s a busy week on the tour. You’ve got a double-dose of me in your inbox today. This time I’m shifting focus to the men’s hard-court event in Mexico. The day’s play starts at Midnight, UK time. So, if you act on this email during the course of this evening (it’s 6pm as I write), you’ll be able to get on before my two nominated price selections get underway.

The two players I like for ATP Acapulco are Matteo Berrettini at 20/1, and Cameron Norrie at 33/1.

This 500-grade tournament boasts some big names, and big names mean short prices. The top of the Outright Winner market looks like this today:

Daniil Medvedev 15/8 (2.88)

Alexander Zverev 2/1 (3.0)

Rafael Nadal 5/2 (3.5)

Stefanos Tsitsipas 6/1 (7.0)

Those guys are all Top 10 players. But they’re certainly not unbeatable…

Berrettini is in the top half of the draw. Norrie is in the bottom half. At the prices, I very much like those two as outsider contenders here, betting Each Way.

• Berrettini has made the semi finals at both hard-court Grand Slams – including the Australian Open last month. The 25-year-old Italian is also a Top 10 player himself these days, currently residing at a career high of no.6 in the world

• After winning the 250 event at Delray Beach last week, Norrie is also up to a new career-best ranking. The Brit is now no.12 in the world. He’s won 3 ATP titles since the start of last season, all on hard courts. Including the prestigious 1000-grade trophy at Indian Wells

With both hard-court form and price on our side, those two names are my Ones to Watch picks for Acapulco this week. Berrettini and Norrie are both well capable of mixing it with the big boys – and if any of the favourites slip up, they could be well-placed to take advantage.

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Ones to Watch picks:

Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):

ATP Acapulco – Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado pos HSBC

• Matteo Berrettini @ 20/1 Bet365, Skybet, BetVictor, Boylesports, Unibet, MansionBet, SportNation, NetBet, 10Bet

• Cameron Norrie @ 33/1 Bet365, Boylesports, Unibet, MansionBet, SportNation, NetBet, 10Bet

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Play starts at Midnight, when bookies will take down their Outright Winner markets for the night.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch