Tennis Betting Advice - January 2019

Australian Open: Day 10 – Quarter Finals…

Tuesday 22nd January 2019

Australian Open - Bets of the Day

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Day 10 – play starts at Midnight…
  • Quarter Finals…
  • Raonic v Pouille…

Name on the trophy?

People are starting to think Kei Nishikori’s name might be on the trophy. The Japanese star has played four matches to get to the quarter finals, and three of them have gone to the wire with a fifth set…

In the 1st Round, Nishikori came back from 2-0 down against an opponent ranked No.176 in the world, who then retired injured. Kei also came back to win 3-2 in the 4th Round. And in the 3rd Round, Nishikori needed a final set decider, too.

Two of Kei’s wins have come courtesy of a fifth set ‘super tiebreaker’ where it’s first to 10 points (and you have to win by 2 clear points). On both occasions, he was trailing in that crucial tiebreak, but somehow came through to win.

After surviving a good few scrapes here in Melbourne, Nishikori’s 2019 match record simply shows that he’s played eight matches this month – and won all eight of them. The win-loss record doesn’t tell the story behind those close calls.

If a first Grand Slam trophy for Nishikori is written in the stars, then the bookies aren’t believers. At the start of the Australian Open, the World No.9 was a 28/1 shot. The bookmakers now have Kei out at 50/1 and 33/1.

That’s because along with all those court hours (and miles) chalked up so far, Nishikori has the arduous task of facing World No.1 Novak Djokovic next…

Djokovic has beaten Nishikori 14 (fourteen) times in a row. The underdog is 6/1 (7.00) to pull off the upset.

Will it be a case of Nobody beats Kei Nishikori 15 times in a row? We’ll see.

Day 10 – Quarter Finals…

The four remaining quarter finals take place tonight & into Wednesday morning, UK time.

In the Women’s, the line-up is (top Outright Winner price in brackets):

Naomi Osaka (6/1) v Elina Svitolina (11/1)
Followed by
Serena Williams (13/8) v Karolina Pliskova (11/1)

In the Men’s it’s:

Milos Raonic (12/1) v Lucas Pouille (100/1)
Followed by
Novak Djokovic (6/5) v Kei Nishikori (50/1)

I don’t have any match bets for today, but we’ll be looking at each of the semi finals over the next couple of days. Last night we were one up and one down from our two Total Games picks.

In terms of the Outright Winner markets and the big prices, we’re still in the hunt…

Danielle Collins won her quarter final match. Her price has now been cut from 25/1 to 14/1. Collins will play Petra Kvitova (2/1) in the semi finals.

And we have 25/1 Milos Raonic – cut to 12/1 after beating Alexander Zverev – playing in the quarters tonight…

Raonic is 1/6 (1.17) to beat Lucas Pouille. The Frenchman is a 9/2 (5.50) match underdog, and a 100/1 rank outsider for the title. He seems much improved under new coach Amelie Mauresmo though, so our man Raonic will need to continue his good form & superb serving to get the win here.

  • If you like to trade your bets or protect your stakes, taking the match price on Pouille would do that job for you this evening

The head-to-head is in our favour, 3-0 to the Canadian with Pouille yet to win a set against Milos.

Overall it’s a No Bet day for me. I’ll be back tomorrow evening with your Bets of the Day email for Day 11.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch