Tennis Betting Advice - January 2020

Match pick for Kudermetova v Bellis tonight…

Tuesday 14th January 2020

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Three in action tonight…
  • Kudermetova v Bellis…
  • Back Veronika to win well…

Three in action tonight…

In this week’s Sunday night preview we picked out four players to follow Each Way in the Outright Winner markets across this week’s ATP & WTA tournaments.

Jannik Sinner (20/1) went out in the Auckland 1st round to the hard-to-predict Benoit Paire, going down 2-1 in a close match.

Our other three Ones to Watch all made it safely through to round two, and play again tonight…

Hubert Hurkacz (9/1) is our other Auckland pick. After a straight-sets win on Sunday night, he’s priced as a 1/2 (1.50) favourite to beat Mikael Ymer (1am, UK time).

In this week’s women’s events, we’re following Sofia Kenin (10/1) in Adelaide, and Veronika Kudermetova (16/1) in Hobart.

Kenin was a comfortable 2-0 winner in her 1st round match. The bookies make our player an 8/11 (1.73) favourite to beat fellow American ball-striker, Danielle Collins.

Collins won their only two previous meetings – but they were back in 2017 and on the lower-tier ITF circuit. Since then, it’s Kenin that has made the most ground on tour.

That one is scheduled for 4am+.

Veronika Kudermetova v Catherine Bellis

In Hobart, I like Kudermetova’s all-round game and strong first serve enough to put her up as our first match pick of the season tonight…

The 22-year-old Russian looked very good in dismissing Sam Stosur in the opening round on Monday, 6-2, 6-2. That victory took a little over an hour, clocking-in at 63 minutes.

In comparison, 20-year-old former One to Watch in 2018 player CiCi Bellis – who is making steps back on the tour after a long injury layoff last year – was on court for almost three hours last night…

Bellis saved a match point and came from 3-6, 1-4 down to pull off a remarkable comeback win over another promising youngster, 21-year-old Marie Bouzkova. That 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 effort required a total of two hours and 53 minutes on court.

As good as that win will be for Bellis’ confidence, I can see the American struggling to be at top level against an up-for-it opponent this evening.

In that match, Bellis gave away 16 break points and lost her serve on no fewer than seven occasions – winning 62% of 1st Serve points, and just 34% on her 2nd Serve.

Against Stosur, Kudermetova saved three out of four break points. And won 70% of 1st Serve points, and 56% on her 2nd Serve.

With an extra day’s rest on her side, I can see the Russian winning well here. The match is at Midnight UK time, and live on Amazon Prime Video.

Kudermetova is 1/2 (1.50) to win. If you’re happy enough to back the favourite straight-up, then that looks a good solid Match Winner bet to me, considering the circumstances.

In terms of squeezing the greatest returns from this opportunity, I make the 2-0 Set Betting win the pick with a top price 7/5 (2.40) available, and 6/5 (2.20) in general.

  • If you want something fancier, the 1st and/ or 2nd Set ‘Correct Score’ prices could be worth a look. Bellis lost 6-0 in her defeat v Jessica Pegula last week. You’ll get around 20/1 for a 6-0 Set Score to Kudermetova, and 22/1 at Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook. For 6-1 and 6-2 scores, you’ll get around 9/1 and 6/1

Ones to Watch:

WTA Hobart

Veronika Kudermetova v Catherine Bellis

Set Betting:

  • Kudermetova to win 2-0 is 7/5 (2.40) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 6/5 (2.20) Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Betway, Betfred, Sportingbet

That’s the kind of match betting analysis I’ll be looking to deliver at next week’s Australian Open. As well, of course, as going after the outsider odds in the men’s & women’s Outright Winner markets.

I’ll be back in the week with more from Hobart, Auckland & Adelaide. Followed at the weekend by details of our plan of action for the big one in Melbourne which starts on Sunday night.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch