Tennis Betting Advice - July 2018
Wimbledon: Bets of the Day – six for today at 10/1…
Friday 6th July 2018
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Wimbledon – Bets of the Day
Good morning and welcome to Day 5 of your Wimbledon 2018 coverage…
Play starts at 11.30am.
Big shocks and big chances…
They’re calling it ‘Wild Wimbledon.’
We said we wanted shocks and upsets – and that’s what we’re getting.
Yet more big names tumbled out yesterday…
Marin Cilic lost to Guido Pella, who was 12/1 to beat last year’s runner-up – a match price that was bigger than Cilic’s price to win the whole tournament outright.
In the Women’s, reigning champion Garbine Muguruza was knocked out in the 2nd Round by World No.47 Alison Van Uytvanck. That’s the earliest a defending champ has gone out since Steffi Graf in 1994.
Elsewhere, 2017 semi-finalist Johanna Konta was also sent packing.
We’re not even at the end of week one and already we’ve seen six of the top 10 Women’s seeds and four of the top 10 Men’s seeds knocked out.
Those shocks & surprises inevitably open up the draw for a less-heralded name to come through in the second week.
We could have one of them on our hands…
Naomi Osaka (40/1) is in the top half of the Women’s draw – and after winning 2-0 yesterday, and with Muguruza gone from that half, the 20-year-old from Japan is now a general 25/1 shot. Next up is a massive match against Angelique Kerber (who is just 6/1 for the title). The winner of that one should fancy their chances of going a long way.
In the bottom half, Venus Williams (40/1) is now also a general 25/1 shot.
In the bottom side of the Men’s draw – the opposite side to Roger Federer – Alexander Zverev (20/1) has some work to do, due back on court this afternoon with a 2-1 deficit to try and overcome against Taylor Fritz. Juan Martin Del Potro (18/1) is looking good so far though – after back-to-back 3-0 wins, he’s now 12/1 to go all the way.
We’ve gone for big prices every day so far. We’re still waiting to get off the mark. But it’s early days. Two of our outsider picks have gone out, Magdalena Rybarikova (50/1) and Kirsten Flipkens (300/1). But as mentioned above, one of our remaining Outright Winner picks could yet prove to be our best bet of the tournament.
On the Match Winner front, it’s time for me to wheel out the ‘near miss’ line once again. On Wednesday, our 9/1 acca saw nine of the 10 players winning. On Thursday, our 10/1 acca got eight out of nine. One winner like that and we’ll be smiling in the sun.
Six for today at 10/1…
The 3rd Round starts today with 16 matches on the Friday schedule.
Looking for the upsets…
I’d have liked to have seen bigger than 7/4 (2.75) for the in-form Mihaela Buzarnescu to take out World No.8 Karolina Pliskova.
Radu Albot (4/1) can be expected to put up a good fight against John Isner. But after two five-sets matches in a row, Albot might not quite have enough to get past Isner who rattled down a frightening 64 Aces in the last round.
Kristina Mladenovic is 10/3 (4.33) to upset Serena Williams today. This will be Williams’ toughest opponent of the week so far, but the Frenchwoman tends to get nervy at the big moments (watch out for Double Faults on crucial points) and I’m not sure she actually believes she can beat Serena.
As we enter week two we’ll have more focus on individual matches and the wider range of markets that will be available, such as Aces & Double Faults, as well as other stats-based areas like Total Games.
For today though I’m sticking with the approach of combining my top Match Winner picks of the day in a multiple, with a big payout the potential reward. The early rounds of a Grand Slam give us loads of matches to choose from, and these six make the cut for me today…
Match Winner – Acca:
BET: Six-fold on the players above to all win @ 10/1
BOOKIES: 10/1 (11.00) William Hill, BetVictor, Boylesports, SunBets, 9/1 (10.00) Bet365, Betway, NetBet, 10Bet
Latest odds here
Here are today’s Bets of the Day (see above for full details):
Six-fold Match Winner acca @ 10/1
I’ll be back at 8am tomorrow with your Bets of the Day for Saturday.
Enjoy the tennis…