Tennis Betting Advice - July 2020
4/1 shots for Day Two at the Team Tennis…
Tuesday 28th July 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Upsets on Day One…
Day one of the Battle of the Brits Team Tennis was a day of the ‘dogs…
Four matches featured significant upsets on the odds and pre-match favouritism. Including Cameron Norrie beating British men’s No.1 Dan Evans at 3/1. And the biggest one of the day, Jodie Burrage brushing aside women’s No.1 Jo Konta at 6/1.
As I said on Monday morning, the bookies were initially slow in getting their match prices up for this event. That 6/1 (7.0) Burrage price didn’t appear until just before 10am. The match started at 12 noon…
That said, Burrage was down to 9/2 (5.5) with Bet365 before the first ball was hit, so maybe a few people had time to jump on the upset. Was it you?
My day one pick Katie Boulter was also on the end of a surprise result. With Boulter and Konta both losing in straight sets yesterday, their form looks hard to read going into their match against each other today. Boulter is a 2/1 (3.0) outsider for that encounter.
4/1 shots for today…
Of course, you & I do most of our business on the underdog end of the tennis prices. We’re going back to our summer 2-1 Set Betting score ‘strategy’ today. It’s served us well with a handful of 2-1 results in the region of 4/1 and 5/1 in the post-lockdown competitions.
The two matches & players I like for this route on day two at the National Tennis Centre are Kyle Edmund against Dan Evans, and Alicia Barnett against Maia Lumsden…
Evans v Edmund is the match of the day on paper. These two were the finalists in the men’s Battle of the Brits tournament at this venue last month. Evans was a 2-0 winner that day. But that was to date his only career victory over Edmund. Kyle leads the head-to-head, 3-1.
Evans lost his opening match here yesterday, while Edmund justified his odds-on match prices to win in straight sets. Kyle is the slight underdog today, at around Evens (2.0). For around 4/1 (5.0), the 2-1 score-line appeals as the bigger-price option.
In the women’s, I like Barnett to repeat what she did against a somewhat ailing Lumsden at the Progress Tour a fortnight ago, and edge past the favourite with a three-set win…
Lumsden was my selection that week, but Maia flagged a bit in her matches, showing glimpses of her best game, but ultimately not at full match fitness after a long delay off court this year.
Barnett is a 6/5 (2.2) underdog in the Match Winner market today. The 2-1 Set Betting pick at 5/1 (6.0) stands out nicely. We’ve seen plenty of women’s matches go this way already this summer…
Battle of the Brits Team Tennis:
Women’s, 1pm
Men’s, 5pm
The matches are live on the BBC iPlayer/ Sport app/ Red Button.
I’ll be back tomorrow morning with a look at the day three schedule and prices. I’ve also got some notes on the Grand Slams and next week’s return of the WTA Tour to share with you.
Enjoy the tennis,
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson