Tennis Betting Advice - June 2018

French Open: Close encounters in Paris...

Monday 11th June 2018

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • French Open – final summary...
  • 25/1 Stephens runner-up...
  • Wimbledon on the way...

French Open – final summary...

The French Open 2018 came to an end on Sunday afternoon with a hard-fought but ultimately comfortable 3-0 victory for the Clay Court King, Rafael Nadal.

We were right to target the first set as that’s where runner-up Dominic Thiem came closest on the scoreboard, but the Austrian couldn’t do enough to put Rafa in any real trouble, going down 6-4, 6-3, 6-2.

Nadal has now won an unprecedented 11 French Open titles. Between them, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer have won the last six Grand Slam trophies.

World No.1 Nadal was odds-on from day one this time, at just 1/2 (1.50). But there have been plenty of bigger price Men’s runners-up giving hope to Each Way underdog backers like ourselves...

Thiem was 10/1 pre-tournament in France, Australian Open runner-up Marin Cilic was 33/1, US Open 2017 runner-up Kevin Anderson was 150/1 and Cilic was also a 28/1 runner-up at Wimbledon last summer. Of that bunch, we were on Cilic on both occasions.

In the Women’s French Open, the title was also won by the current World No.1, with Simona Halep (6/1) winning her first Grand Slam, in her fourth final.

Halep beat our 25/1 outsider Sloane Stephens, who we backed mid-tournament at a very nice Each Way price – giving a 12/1 place payout.

Backing every French Open pick that I recommended over the fortnight we ended up a couple of points in profit, for a modest but satisfactory 4.87% ROI.

The Outright Winner markets are often the most profitable for us and that was the case here, with those recommendations taken on their own producing a 32.77% ROI, thanks to Stephens.

Close encounters in Paris...

It was a good tournament for us with 66/1 Madison Keys v 25/1 Stephens getting through to the Women’s semi finals to give us a guaranteed finalist and Each Way payout.

And it’s fair to say we weren’t far off landing some stratospheric profits...

Stephens was 6-3, 2-0 up in the final before Halep turned it around, and for a while there it looked like we were going to get the big 25/1 win.

On the match betting front, we got a nice 9/1 (10.00) payout on a great value bet on ‘Del Potro to win, serve Most Aces and Least Double Faults’ v Cilic in the quarter finals. As I explained in our Bets of the Day email that day, the price for that ‘treble’ using the individual prices for those three outcomes was more like 9/2 (5.50).

However, with Match Winner multiples we were agonisingly close to some big wins...

10-fold acca @ 5/1 – 9 out of 10 won
10-fold acca @ 11/2 – 9 out of 10 won
5-fold acca @ 4/1 – 4 out of 5 won
10-fold acca @ 25/1 – 9 out of 10 won
10-fold acca @ 22/1 – 8 out of 10 won

The 25/1 shot was the biggest ‘near miss,’ with nine legs coming in before the final one (Carla Suarez Navarro) lost in the last match of the day.

I’m not deterred. We were close. We’ll go again at Wimbledon...

Wimbledon on the way...

The grass court season is here already with four tournaments on the calendar this week, and seven more to come in the next fortnight – before the big one at SW19 at the start of July.

I’ll be putting together a free Wimbledon 2018 – Ones to Watch report for you at the end of this week, listing a handful of outsiders to watch out for at big prices.

And we’ve already had our first pick for this week with 16/1 Phillip Kohlschreiber an Each Way prospect in Stuttgart.

The summer of tennis is just getting started. I’ll be back soon with more.


How was it for you?

It was my pleasure to write to you every day of the French Open. Hopefully you enjoyed the ride and made some money from Stephens getting to the final...

Let me know how you got on. I’d love to hear from you, and as ever I welcome feedback on the service:

Email me using the message form here

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch