Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020
Battle of the Brits – Semi Finals…
Saturday 27th June 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Dan Evans v Andy Murray…
It’s semi finals day at the National Tennis Centre in Roehampton. And with the rain coming down, it looks like the organisers might have made the right decision after all to play this event indoors.
The action starts at 1pm with Dan Evans v Andy Murray. This could turn out to be the match of the week – and possibly one of the highest quality matches we’ve seen since the tours went on hold.
All the ingredients are there: two men who will leave it all out on court; the younger Evans still seeking redemption for career potential not yet fulfilled, the older Murray on the comeback once again…
They haven’t met in a tournament before, so there is no head-to-head in the book. While Kyle Edmund was able to use his physicality to eventually wear down Murray earlier in the week, Evans will rely on his sharp serve, and combinations of smart shots, slices and angles. If he can move the 33-year-old around, then Dan could also wear Andy down here. But don’t expect it to be easy.
Evans is the slight favourite at 8/11 (1.73). Murray is Evens (2.00). Interestingly, at 5/2 (3.50) each, both men are a bigger price today to go on and win the tournament than when it first began. Only one can make it to the final though, of course.
This could go all the way…
I’m expecting a good match, and a close one.
If you pushed me for a match prediction, I’d say Evans to win 2-1. But with the scoring system being used here meaning the third set is a Champions Tiebreak (first to 10 pts, have to win by 2 pts), Murray tiring might not be as much as an issue as it was against Edmund, seeing as the Scot has had a day to recover between matches this time.
The conclusion: head to the Total Sets markets, and take the top price 6/4 (2.50) for this to go the distance to that third set decider.
Alternatively, split your stake across both men to win 2-1 in the Set Betting market, at odds of around 7/2 (4.50) each.
In the day’s other semi final, we have our man Cameron Norrie taking on the now odds-on tournament favourite, Kyle Edmund.
As ever with our semi-finalists, we are one match win away from an Each Way payout. Norrie is a 9/2 (5.50) outsider in this one, but he looked good yesterday, and I’d rather he was playing Edmund than Evans or Murray at this stage.
Battle of the Brits:
I’ll be back tomorrow with a preview of the final.
Enjoy the tennis,