Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020
Battle of the Brits – The Final…
Sunday 28th June 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
Cam so close…
Andy Murray is going home empty-handed, but he did well for us in our match picks this week. After a 9/1 tiebreak payout on Wednesday, Andy played out a three-set semi final v Dan Evans on Saturday afternoon, to land our Total Sets selection.
Evans came from behind to win 1-6, 6-3, 10-8. It was a good match. And again, understandably, Andy tired as it went on. Murray has subsequently pulled out of today’s 3rd Place Playoff.
In the other semi final, our 12/1 Each Way tournament pick Cameron Norrie put up a great fight as the underdog against Kyle Edmund.
Cam came so close to getting to the final, with his nose ahead for much of the match, but Kyle edged him out in another final-set, Champions Tiebreak decider: 6-7, 6-4, 10-8. That score-line shows how close it was.
Dan Evans v Kyle Edmund…
As the saying goes, a 3rd Place Playoff is a match that no-one wants to play. With Murray pulling out to save his shins, Norrie will face James Ward instead in the first match on court today (1pm). That one is best left alone. And as I write, the bookies don’t have prices up, anyway.
The Final is Dan Evans v Kyle Edmund. This should be another engrossing and hard-fought encounter at the National Tennis Centre…
Evans is the British No.1 and the 8/11 (1.73) favourite. A win here would be a big deal for the 30-year-old, whose best tennis has come in this latter part of his career.
The 25-year-old Edmund is not far off in the betting, at Evens (2.00). Edmund may currently be behind Evans in the world rankings, but he’s been as high as No.14 before.
The head-to-head is actually a dominant 3-0 to Edmund, with the most recent meeting coming on grass last summer, almost exactly a year ago. That one went to three sets at Eastbourne.
Add in the fact that Edmund has turned up in Roehampton this week looking as physically good as we’ve ever seen him. With his trainer noting that Kyle has added some muscle bulk, especially to his legs. He can hit the ball harder than Evans, that’s for sure.
As we noted yesterday, what Evans lacks in power he makes up for in skill, speed and pure ball-playing talent. This really could be close.
One further point to consider is that fatigue might be a factor for Evans. He played two three-set matches on Saturday, as he also took part in the Doubles Final last night (lost 2-1).
To the wire…
All in all, there are factors here to balance things out for Edmund against the favourite Evans. And considering that both men have been involved in three-setters in the last few days, it would be fitting for the Final to also go to the wire…
Same tactic as yesterday for us then: take the 3 Sets option in the Total Sets market. Or split your stake across both men to win 2-1 in the Set Betting market, at around 7/2 (4.50) each.
Battle of the Brits:
I’ll be back in the week, with more new events & exhibitions on the schedule for us to look at.
Enjoy the tennis,