Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020
My German pick for this afternoon…
Saturday 13th June 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
The Set Betting outcomes didn’t go our way yesterday. JJ Wolf’s winning run came to an end v Mikael Torpegaard. And despite going a break ahead in both sets, Jessica Pegula was defeated 2-0 by the 18-year-old Whitney Osuigwe.
The overall picture for our self-styled ‘lockdown list’ – which started in May, and has seen us in action on a pretty much daily basis in the time-slot that should have been the French Open – is that our match picks are running at a 22% ROI to level stakes.
Big names this weekend…
These new tournaments and exhibition events have been gradually creeping up in quality. There’s some exciting stuff to come in July with several competitions now being lined up to compete for tennis fans’ attention in the gap where Wimbledon would’ve been.
With events already on the new calendar for London next month, and another potentially bigger one in the pipeline, too – with bookmakers getting involved to ramp up the prize money.
Prize money attracts players, and I’m sure Patrick Mouratoglou has thrown a bit of cash about to get a few of the men’s Top 10 at his new Ultimate Tennis Showdown (UTS) event, which starts this weekend…
The first UTS matches take place in France from this afternoon, with the likes of David Goffin, Matteo Berrettini and Stefanos Tsitsipas in action.
The PR has been pretty flashy for this new event, but actual details of the UTS match format have been harder to come across. I’ll be watching today to see how it all shapes up. There are more matches there tomorrow, too – and then for the next four weekends. We can take our time to get a feel of it.
Novak Djokovic is also involved this weekend, both on and off the court, with the first instalment of the Adria Tour series that he has been instrumental in organising. The World No.1 lines up this afternoon against his good friend and fellow Serbian, Viktor Troicki.
There’s also a new women’s Charity Cup exhibition taking place in the Czech Republic this weekend.
In fact, across all spectrums, there are over 100 tennis matches on the scoreboards and betting lists for Saturday. And there were 150+ yesterday.
Loads of tennis going on in various locations, then. But we pick our battles carefully. One match gets our attention today…
My German pick for this afternoon…
We’ve had one visit to the DTB German Pro Series so far, with Yannick Hanfmann a 2-0 winner for us on Wednesday. He went on to win his next couple of matches 2-0, too. And going back to last month, Hanfmann is now on a 12-match winning streak, without dropping a single set.
We’re in Germany again today for the final Group 6 match in the current series. The top two from each group go through to the playoff matches. Louis Wessels has already secured one of the top two spots in Group 6. The remaining place will be decided by the result of this afternoon’s match…
Yannick Maden v Peter Torebko
Maden is 30 years of age, Torebko is 32. Neither man has ever really dented the Top 100 of the ATP rankings. Maden reached a best of No.96, Torebko a career-high of No.182.
A close match is in store here, according to the bookies. William Hill make it a straight-up 50-50 in the betting. With both men at 5/6 (1.83) each to win, and exactly the same prices for either player in the four Set Betting option – 2-0 at 2/1, and 2-1 at 3/1.
Despite those evenly-matched odds, the head-to-head is actually very one-sided: 4-0 to Torebko. But to take some of the gloss off of that, the last meeting was four years ago, and the other three were between 2009 and 2013.
This week’s DTB series form points to Torebko too, though. He’s won both his matches in straight sets. Maden has won one and lost one.
With the winner-takes-all element to today’s match in terms of making it through to the playoff round (and the chance of another match is going to mean a shot at a slightly bigger slice of the prize money), and the edge to Torebko, my take is that he’ll drive home the win here.
If you’re happy with a straight-down-the-line Match Winner selection, take the best price 5/6 for Torebko – available with William Hill, Boylesports & Bet365.
Ever hungry for the best return, I’m drawn to the 2-0 Set Betting win, with a few bookies offering this market…
DTB German Pro Series:
2pm UK time
I’ll be back tomorrow, hopefully armed with more info on the Ultimate Tennis Showdown event.
Enjoy the tennis,
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson