Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020

Nobody beats Cid 4 times in a row…

Thursday 4th June 2020

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • I can’t control the weather…
  • Nobody beats Cid 4 times in a row?
  • Play starts 3pm…

A 5/1 option in the States – weather permitting…

Yesterday’s work on the LiveScore Cup didn’t come to anything, with our selection Marketa Vondrousova withdrawing from the event a few hours before she was due on court.

Tereza Martincova replaced Vondrousova in the Prague event, but is still waiting to finish her match against Kristyna Pliskova, as they were rained off in the third set.

Things we can’t control…

A void bet for us there, with Vondrousova pulling out. Ones to Watch member Mike writes in to say:

“Hi Tom, my latest bets were voided by BetVictor and refunded to bet again. Ho hum.... Need another couple of definites if you can. Keep up the good work. Kind regards, Mike”

I hear you, Mike. But the way I look at it, a void bet is better than a losing one.

We can’t control injuries, or the weather.

As I always say, I never claim to have any ‘locker-room’ knowledge. I haven’t got any trainers or coaches calling me from shady payphones...

No crystal ball for Cristobal…

I do keep an eye on the weather news, though.

Most of this week’s GST Tours Matchplay 120 matches are being staged across the state of Florida. Hurricane season officially began over there on Monday. Tropical Storm Cristobal is hitting this week. Heavy rain is expected – and maybe worse.

In terms of the tennis, two matches in the GST competition in Orlando, Florida were cancelled due to the weather yesterday. The one I have in my notes for today is scheduled for the same venue, from 10am local time, which is 3pm here in the UK…

Roberto Cid Subervi v Bjorn Fratangelo…

If the possibility of a void or delayed bet puts you off, then make your own decision accordingly. I’ve decided to share my notes with you anyway, since the work is done and you may find something useful in it…

Nobody beats Cid 4 times in a row?

Cid Subervi has won his last two matches in the Matchplay 120 series. I watched him beat Ulises Blanch the other day and was quietly impressed by his consistency. He had a calmer head on him than his opponent, too.

Today’s scheduled opponent Fratangelo has scuppered two picks for us recently, on both occasions coming from a set down to pull off the 2-1 turnaround.

The head-to-head for this match-up is 3-0 to the American, including a 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 triumph for Fratangelo in this series, in Orlando, on 28th May.

Two of Bjorn’s three wins in the career head-to-head v today’s opponent have been by the 2-1 score. As have each of his last three match victories overall. Cid Subervi’s three recent defeats in the Matchplay 120 event have all been by 2-1 score-lines.

Fratangelo is 2/5 (1.40) across the board to win the match. If this one goes ahead, I fully expect Cid Subervi to put up a good fight. If the playing conditions are windy, tricky and/ or heavy going, that could aid the case for a long slug of a match, too.

The underdog to win is 7/4 (2.75). My angle is for this match to go to three sets. Ladbrokes & Coral have that option available at 17/10 (2.70) in the Total Sets market. The Set Betting markets are more widely available though. Backing both would give an overall profit, if this one does indeed go the distance. Fratangelo 2-1 is 3/1+, and Cid Subervi 2-1 is 5/1+.

GST Tours Matchplay 120 – Men:

Roberto Cid Subervi v Bjorn Fratangelo

3pm

  • Set Betting – Fratangelo to win 2-1 is 7/2 (4.50) with Ladbrokes, Coral, Sportingbet, Bwin, 10/3 (4.33) Bet365, BetVictor, 3/1 (4.00) Skybet

And:

  • Set Betting – Cid Subervi to win 2-1 is 11/2 (6.50) with Bet365, BetVictor, Sporingbet, Bwin, NetBet, 10Bet, 5/1 (6.00) Ladbrokes, Coral, Skybet, 888 Sport, Unibet

Latest odds here

I’ll keep in touch with you with more match analysis and advice, as the daily schedules continue.

Enjoy the tennis,

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch