Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020

Looking for another 2-1 in this women’s series…

Thursday 11th June 2020

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • GST Tours Matchplay 120, USA…
  • Jessica Pegula v Shelby Rogers…
  • Play starts 7pm…

Hanfmann rolls on…

Yesterday’s pick gave us a solid winner, albeit at modest odds. Yannick Hanfmann led throughout in a 6-3, 6-2 win over Tobias Simon, to land the 2-0 Set Betting score.

Hanfmann has now won 10 matches in a row in Germany, and is yet to drop a single set in that run.

Yesterday we got a best price 17/20 (1.85) for the 2-0 score. Today, Hanfmann is shorter, at around 4/9 (1.44) to beat Matthias Bachinger in straight sets. We’ll leave that short price today.

The revolution is coming, apparently…

Over the last couple of weeks, we’ve been flitting between Germany, Austria and the USA with our match analysis, with a short trip to Spain, too.

We’ll add France to that list at the weekend, with the start of the Ultimate Tennis Showdown (UTS). According to organiser Patrick Mouratoglou’s website for the new UTS event:

“June 13th will be remembered as the day that revolutionized tennis, forever.”

Well, we’d better take a look on Saturday, then.

2-1 still the plan in the States…

Back to the States today, and we’re returning to the profitable 2-1 Set Betting trend that we identified recently…

Jessica Pegula v Shelby Rogers

Since 1st June, there have been 14 women’s matches played in the GST Tours Matchplay 120 series, and eight of them gone the distance to three sets.

That includes each of the last three outings all ending with a 2-1 winner. With some more of those rollercoaster scoreboards that we were talking about last week…

Just yesterday, for example, Caroline Dolehide came from 0-3 down in the final set to eventually beat Jamie Loeb, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4. More games than not in that match saw a break of serve (16 out of 28). Serving stats like that are always going to pave the way for topsy-turvy score-lines.

Between them, today’s contestants Pegula and Rogers have been involved in three out of four gone-the-distance matches this month. This is their first meeting in this GST series, and I agree with the bookies having Pegula as the slight favourite in the match betting.

We don’t want to take any odds-on prices like the 4/6 (1.67) in the Match Winner market though, with such a wobbly scoreboard potentially in store…

Backing Pegula to hold firm at the end when it really matters is my pick – leading us to the 2-1 option again, at healthy odds of around 7/2 (4.50).

GST Tours Matchplay 120 – Women:

7pm UK time

  • Set Betting – Jessica Pegula to win 2-1 v Shelby Rogers is 15/4 (4.75) with Sportingbet, Bwin, 18/5 (4.60) with Ladbrokes, Coral, 7/2 (4.50) Bet365, 10/3 (4.33) Betfred, BetVictor, 888 Sport, Unibet

Latest odds here

I’ll be back tomorrow with a look at Friday’s match schedule and prices.

Enjoy the tennis,

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch