Tennis Betting Advice - June 2020

Set selections in Valencia and Ohio…

Friday 5th June 2020

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Wolf on court in Columbus…
  • Close call in Spain…
  • Play starts 5pm…

Rain stopped play again in Florida yesterday. Our featured match between Roberto Cid Subervi and Bjorn Fratangelo was called off.

Today the new tennis merry-go-round takes us to Ohio, and also to a new event in Spain…

Wolf on court in Columbus…

Jeffrey John Wolf – better known as ‘JJ’ – turned pro last summer, and looks to be a young man on the up. The 21-year-old is at a career-to-date best of No.144 in the world, which is good going considering he hasn’t been on the pro tours for long.

JJ won the ATP Columbus Challenger tournament in February, his last competitive outing before the coronavirus crisis saw the tours cancelled. That week, Wolf beat Mikael Torpegaard in the semi finals, 7-6, 7-6.

Wolf and Torpegaard meet again on hard courts in Columbus, Ohio today, in the latest round of the GST Tours Matchplay 120 series. Wolf has won three out of three in this series so far, with two of those wins coming against Torpegaard. The scores were 6-4, 6-2 and 7-5, 6-4.

That’s three 2-0 wins over Torpegaard in a row, all coming in 2020. It’s not often we get a form-line as recent and bunched-up as that.

The 26-year-old Torpegaard is No.170 in the world. The Danish player has lost all three of his Matchplay 120 series matches so far.

JJ Wolf is 2/5 (1.40) in the Match Winner market. In the Set Betting market, take around Evens (2.00) for the 2-0 score.

Close call in Spain…

Another new event has popped up this week. This time we see the return of live tennis in Spain, for the first time since some of the lockdown restrictions were lifted.

The ‘Region of Valencia Tennis Challenge’ event features three Spaniards, and one Australian – our Ones to Watch in 2019 player, Alex De Minaur.

These matches are being played on clay courts, and that only adds to the case for a long match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Roberto Bautista Agut today…

Carrena Busta is ranked No.25 in the world, and Bautista Agut is No.12. There’s quality here. The head-to-head promises entertainment in terms of court time – none of their five meetings in the last decade have been settled in straight sets…

The overall head-to-head is edged 4-3 by Bautista Agut. He won their last meeting on clay, albeit in 2017. The score that day was 2-1. And the 2-1 score-line (to either player) has decided each of their last four matches in best-of-three-sets encounters.

As with yesterday, Ladbrokes & Coral are looking like the only place to go a Total Sets market. The 3 Sets option is 29/20 (2.45). Backing the 2-1 score for both men at odds of 7/2+ (4.50+) is my recommendation. This is the first event back on in Spain and I reckon both guys will be looking to put on a show here.

GST Tours Matchplay 120 – Men:

7pm UK time

  • Set Betting – Jeffrey John Wolf to win 2-0 v Mikael Torpegaard is 57/50 (2.14) with 888 Sport, Unibet, 11/10 (2.10) William Hill, 10/11 (1.91) Bet365, BetVictor, Ladbrokes, Coral

Valencia Tennis Challenge:

Pablo Carreno Busta v Roberto Bautista Agut

5pm UK time

  • Set Betting – Carreno Busta to win 2-1 is 17/4 (5.25) with Betfred, 4/1 (5.00) Bet365, Sportingbet, Bwin, 19/5 (4.80) Ladbrokes, Coral, 15/4 (4.75) BetVictor


  • Set Betting – Bautista Agut to win 2-1 is 19/5 (4.80) with Betfred, 15/4 (4.75) Bet365, 18/5 (4.60) Sportingbet, Bwin, 7/2 (4.50) Ladbrokes, Coral, BetVictor

I’ll be back over the weekend with an update, and any further match analysis & advice for you…

Enjoy the tennis,

Best wishes,

Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch