Tennis Betting Advice - March 2022
Indian Wells - back big John again tonight...
Wednesday 16th March 2022
We lost out with 100/1+ outsider Sorana Cirstea last night. Her fellow Romanian, Simona Halep, was just too good.
But otherwise, it was a positive night for our big-price Outright Winner picks at Indian Wells…
Our other remaining women’s selection, Veronika Kudermetova, put in a very impressive serving display. Overturning the pre-match odds to beat Marketa Vondrousova in a three-set epic, 7-6, 6-7, 7-5.
There were no breaks of serve at all in the first set – which is rare for a women’s match. And Kudermetova lost her serve just once in the entire match. Winning 76% of her 1st Serve Points, firing down 8 Aces, and giving up just one Double Fault.
Back big John again tonight…
In the men’s, we had two Americans in action in the 3rd round on Tuesday. Taylor Fritz and John Isner both won through to the Last 16…
The latter was especially impressive, with Isner landing the Match Winner underdog odds for us against Diego Schwartzman, in a straight-sets 7-5, 6-3 victory. Big John rained down 13 Aces (to just one Double Fault), winning a powerful 89% of his 1st Serve Points, and not giving up a single break point in the match.
Despite that form, the 6’10” American continues to be underrated by the bookmakers in my opinion. Isner can be backed at Evens (2.0) to win again today, a price that once again makes him the slight outsider. Granted, next opponent Grigor Dimitrov didn’t face a break point either against Alexander Bublik last night – but the Bulgarian also didn’t hit a single Ace…
John leads the career head-to-head v Dimitrov, 2-1. With serving playing a big part in a trio of previous meetings that have all featured a tiebreak (7-6 score) in the first set. That option is Evens with Bet365 today, with the 1st Set Tiebreak market fashioned as ‘First Set Total Games: Over 12.5.’
For me though, at Even Money, Isner to win the match is the key bet.
Here’s the full men’s Last 16 line-up and match prices for today, from Bet365. We have live chances with our four other pre-tournament outright picks here, too – Taylor Fritz, Jannik Sinner, Reilly Opelka, and Cameron Norrie:
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Ones to Watch picks:
ATP Indian Wells – BNP Paribas Open
Match Winner:
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Isner v Dimitrov is scheduled for 9pm+, UK time.
All of the Indian Wells matches are being shown on Amazon Prime Video.
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson