Tennis Betting Advice - May 2020
Three Saturday picks in the States…
Saturday 23rd May 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
A close shave…
I’ve lost count of how many times I’ve said that tennis is a game of small margins. Sometimes they go for you, sometimes against you…
We had four match selections in the USA on Friday. The final one on court ended up being the ‘good’ one, and at the biggest price of the lot, too.
Ones to Watch member David C summed it up with this message landing in my inbox last night:
“Well that was a close shave Tom! Well done - a profit on the day”
A close shave indeed. Alison Riske saved two match points before eventually landing the 2-1 Set Betting correct score v Amanda Anisimova at a top price 4/1.
The match score-line was 0-4, 4-0, 4-3 and 8-6 in the deciding third-set tiebreak. And it was every bit as topsy-turvy as that score suggests.
We’ll always be happy with any kind of profit on the day, of course. But Ones to Watch is all about the bigger picture…
In that respect, the bottom line is that so far this month our ‘lockdown list’ of match picks in these new weekly events has produced 10 pts profits to level 1-pt stakes, for a 56% ROI.
With plenty more ‘exhibition’ tournaments lined up for the next few weeks and into the summer, we’ll be looking to keep that going.
Three Saturday picks in the States…
Today I have three Match Winner selections.
Once again Oddschecker are making a hash of the daily markets with basically zero coverage of the men’s Exo-Tennis matches in Atlanta or the women’s UTR Pro Match Series in Florida…
That’s just an anomaly and nothing to do with the events themselves. Other comparison sites such as BestBetting have the matches listed. As do pretty much all the major bookmakers.
I’ve shopped around and listed the top prices below.
In the men’s, I’m willing to give yesterday’s pick Garrett Johns a second go at underdog prices. The 19-year-old college player lost his opener against Donald Young, but won 2-0 in his second match of the day against fellow newcomer, Hunter Reese.
This evening Johns takes on 30-year-old South African, Ruan Roelofse. The older player hasn’t had much joy so far in Atlanta, losing a total of 8 out of 10 matches in the Exo-Tennis Series this month. That includes a brace of defeats on Friday.
With Johns available at around 5/4 (2.25) as I write, and a standout 6/4 (2.50) with Skybet, the youngster fits the bill on the underdog side of the odds. I wouldn’t follow him all the way down to odds-on prices below Evens (2.00), though, as we want to keep the value in our side of the court.
In the women’s matches in Florida, I’m happy to follow the modest 1-0 head-to-head form for two of the match-ups today, backing players who both opened with victories on day one at the UTR Pro Match Series…
What’s more, these two both only played one match yesterday, while their respective opponents were both on court twice. They could be slightly the fresher for that.
The names in question are the streaky and feisty Danielle Collins to beat Alison Riske, and Australia’s Ajla Tomljanovic to beat the teenager Amanda Anisimova.
I favour Tomljanovic to hold her serve more often than Anisimova. And after reeling off a 4-1, 4-2 win in her opening match on Friday, Collins looks like she could be in line for one of her good weeks here.
The bookies don’t have these two women’s matches too far off 50-50 prices – especially in the latter one – but I think Collins and Tomlljanovic both have the edge going into today’s schedule.
Exo-Tennis Series, USA – Men:
8pm:
UTR Pro Match Series, USA – Women:
5pm:
6pm:
I’ll be back tomorrow morning with a look at the Sunday schedule and prices.
P.S
I'll be checking my emails over the weekend if you need to get in touch. Our Customer Service office is closed for the Bank Holiday, but use this email address and I'll see your message: tom.wilson@oxonpress.co.uk
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson