Tennis Betting Advice - May 2021

Rome Masters – Petra can prove value at 20/1...

Wednesday 12th May 2021

In Ones to Watch today:

  • WTA Rome Masters – Outright Winner pick…

  • One to Watch at 20/1…

  • Sinner v Nadal…

Rain stopped play in Rome on Tuesday evening. An upside is that I've been able to get an earlier than usual look at the revised Outright markets, before the action resumes at 9am. Looking to take advantage, I've spent some time poring over the draws and prices.

Once again, with that 9am start time hanging over us, I'll keep it short and sweet in my analysis, as I write to you with the clock swinging past midnight...

Petra can prove value at 20/1... 

In the top half of the women's draw, we have Veronika Kudermetova on our side at very big odds. She beat Elise Mertens in the 1st round yesterday, and looks ready to compete at a high level.

In the bottom half, I'm adding Petra Kvitova at 20/1. That's the same price she started the week at, and it could prove value. Petra takes on the veteran Vera Zvonareva on Wednesday, and is a short odds-on favourite to win that.

If she beats the 36-year-old Russian - and the career head-to-head is 2-0 to Kvitova on clay - then she'll progress to face either fellow Czech, Karolina Pliskova, or Anastasija Sevastova. Again, Petra holds the edge against both of those in previous clay-court meetings.

If that goes as mapped, then the big-hitting left-hander could find herself in the quarter finals, and 20/1 would be a good ticket to have in hand.

Kvitova has won one title so far this season. In eight of the previous nine seasons in which she's won a title, Petra has gone on to claim multiple trophies.

Sinner v Nadal...

Also on the Wednesday schedule, the match of the day could be Jannik Sinner v Rafael Nadal. The teenager and Italian hope, against the clay-court legend.

We're on Sinner as a 33/1 Ones to Watch pick this week. As well as that Outright Winner bet, I want to make sure we get some reward on the day if he does beat Rafa. Odds of 7/2 make Sinner a good underdog selection for me.

Ones to Watch

Match Winner:

  • Jannik Sinner to beat Rafael Nadal is 7/2 (4.5) with Bet365, BetVictor, 10/3 (4.33) Betway, Boylesports

WTA Rome – Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Outright Winner – Each Way:

  • Petra Kvitova is 20/1 with Bet365, William Hill, 16/1 Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook, Betfred, Boylesports

Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places.

Play starts from 9am.

Bookies will take down their Outright Winner markets during the day’s matches.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,


Oliver Upstone

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch