Tennis Betting Advice - May 2023

ATP Rome: take M & M at 28/1 and 80/1...

Sunday 14th May 2023

Good evening. Another late-night update ahead of week two of a Masters event - as we look to beat the 10am start time on Monday morning. And get a couple of slices of potential Outright Winner value in the book for ATP Rome...

It takes a brave man to take on Carlos Alcaraz right now. And I'm that man...

After back-to-back trophy wins on clay in Barcelona and Madrid, the 20-year-old Spanish sensation is the outright favourite, and clearly the man to beat. It's important then that we look to make our Ones to Watch moves here by backing players who have both the gumption and the game to take on the world no.2 in this side of the draw...

Looking at the prices - and also with the potential to spring into form - the two I want to jump on mid-tournament here in Rome are Daniil Medvedev at 20/1+, and Lorenzo Musetti at 50/1+...

Former world no.1 Medvedev had a good pipe-opening win in the last round. And while the Russian is not known as a clay-court lover, I'm on record for backing him on this surface at underdog prices before. He's a dogged competitor, and make no mistake - behind the scenes, Daniil will be looking to make his mark in the biggest events on clay. This is one of them. 

As for an Italian hope at a big price, Musetti is the young man for me. A former teenage Ones to Watch name, the 21-year-old is as big as 80/1 and 66/1 right now, with 50/1 in general making him a good-looking underdog pick. He'll be conducting the home crowd, and clay is his best surface. Lorenzo has been knocking on the door, reaching the quarter finals in Monte Carlo last month - and then the semi finals in Barcelona...


Ones to Watch picks:

ATP Rome – Internazionali BNL d’Italia

Outright Winner - Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):

  • Daniil Medvedev @ 28/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, 22/1 Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor, Betway, 20/1 Unibet, SpreadEx


  • Lorenzo Musetti @ 80/1 SpreadEx, 66/1 Ladbrokes, Coral, 50/1 Bet365, William Hill, BetVictor, Unibet, Betway


Monday's play starts at 10am, UK time. Bookies will take down their Outright markets during play.

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Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch