Tennis Betting Advice - November 2020
Sunday Night Club – Ones to Watch in Linz at 22/1…
Sunday 8th November 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
The purpose of our Sunday Night Club is to swoop in early on the Outright Winner markets for the week’s upcoming tournaments. I’ve got two in-form players at outsider prices for us this evening…
There are two tournaments starting on Monday, both at indoor hard-court venues. The men are at ATP Sofia in Bulgaria. The betting is going to be bossed by the highly-rated young guns – Denis Shapovalov, Alex De Minaur, Jannik Sinner, and Felix Auger-Aliassime.
While we’ve taken odds of 33/1 and bigger for the likes of De Minaur, Sinner & Auger-Aliassime in recent weeks & months. Those guys along with Shapovalov are all around 4/1 – 6/1 each in the smattering of early Outright lists for Sofia. Nothing to get excited about there. We’ll see how the first round or two of matches pan out.
Ones to Watch in Linz at 22/1…
The women are in Austria for WTA Linz. As we noted last week, this event has an encouraging recent history of big-price finalists. With 25/1, 20/1 and 100/1 shots making the final in the last two renewals.
Two women stand out in the early prices here, with the potential of doing better this week than odds of 22/1+ suggest…
Oceane Dodin is one to watch at 25/1 and 22/1. The 24-year-old Frenchwoman has a good record indoors on the lower-tier tours. Not least an ITF title win at Reims in France at the end of October. Dodin came through qualifying here in Linz this weekend with flying colours, winning both matches in straight sets, including a 6-0, 6-0 ‘double bagel’ in the 1st round of qualifying.
While names like Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens dominate the markets at as short as 4/1 each to win this week, don’t be surprised to see this end-of-season WTA International event produce a few surprises.
Someone like Dayana Yastremska at 9/1 – 12/1 would usually be just within my price range here, but Yastremska has had injury and form problems since the restart. I’m hoping she gets her coaching situation sorted, and starts fresh in 2021. As I’ve said more than once before, Yastremska has the potential to do big, big things in tennis.
For the here and now though, let’s concentrate on the women showing a hint of form that could produce a result this week in Austria…
Dodin is on a seven-match winning streak on indoor hard courts. Earlier this year, at WTA Lyon in March, we were on Dodin as a 33/1 outsider. She went on to reach the quarter finals, only stopped in three sets by eventual champion, Sofia Kenin. That week, Dodin also arrived at a WTA tournament on the back of a lower-tier ITF win indoors in France (Macon). An in-form Oceane could prove a tough opponent for some of the better-known names this week.
Another name to look out for at nice price, with 33/1, 28/1, 25/1 and 22/1 available, is Barbora Krejcikova…
The 24-year-old Czech has had a breakout year, climbing to a career-best of no.74 in the world rankings. Krejcikova made a name for herself on clay at the French Open, reaching the 4th round. She followed that up on indoor hard courts with a run to the quarter finals at WTA Ostrava last month, where there was no shame in losing 2-1 to eventual tournament runner-up and former world no.1, Victoria Azarenka.
Granted, indoors isn’t Barbora’s best surface on paper. But the Czech Republic has a long history of producing female players that can perform on fast hard courts. And the women’s tour pretty much always has an anything-can-happen feel about it these days. To put it quite simply, I think her price looks too big here.
At odds in the region of 22/1+, Dodin and Krejcikova will do nicely as two Sunday night selections for us in Linz.
Play starts from 11.30am Monday, so the Outright Winner markets will temporarily go down then, during the day’s play. Our two picks aren’t due to play until Tuesday onwards.
Ones to Watch:
Outright Winner pick – Each Way
WTA Linz:
Each Way terms: 1/2 odds 1-2 places.
I’ll be back during the week with more on WTA Linz and ATP Sofia.
Enjoy the tennis…
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson