Tennis Betting Advice - September 2020
Our 100/1 ticket in Rome today…
Sunday 20th September 2020
In your Ones to Watch email today:
150/1 shot now 12/1…
The Rome tournament is at the semi final stage today.
And we have one player still standing…
Backed at 150/1, 100/1, or 80/1 Each Way a week ago. Casper Ruud has won four matches on the clay in Italy this week.
He’s through to the semi finals.
In this morning’s revised Outright Winner market, the bookmakers now have Ruud at just 12/1 for the ATP Rome title.
A huge price on our side today…
With Each Way terms of 1/2 the odds for reaching the final. If you’re on the 21-year-old Norwegian at fancy prices, then you’re just one match win away from a massive place payout.
That’s the good news.
The ‘bad news’ is that Ruud’s semi final opponent is world no.1, Novak Djokovic. But that’s to be expected. After all, this is the semis of a Masters event. The world’s top players are supposed to be there.
The bookies make Djokovic 1/6 (1.17) to beat Ruud. The young challenger is 4/1 (5.0). But the Each Way part of our Outright bet gives us a humongous price on that match win…
In other words, at 150/1, the place part of your Each Way bet effectively gives you 75/1 for Ruud to beat Djokovic today.
At 100/1, you’ve got 50/1 on this afternoon’s semi final. At 80/1, you’ve got 40/1 on the match.
As we saw in Rome just last night, the favourites don’t always win…
Odds-on tournament favourite and nine-time Rome champion, Rafael Nadal, was knocked out in straight sets in the quarter finals by Diego Schwartzman…
The Argentinean underdog was a 14/1 outsider to win that match, and 28/1 to win by the 2-0 score.
Betting at big prices is fun. It’s exciting. Casper Ruud this week is a great example of our Ones to Watch approach in action: backing appealing outsiders, at attractive Each Way odds.
Whatever happens this afternoon, we’ve certainly got a fantastic price on our side.
Djokovic v Ruud is live on Amazon Prime Video from 1pm.
Enjoy the tennis…
P.S
Lookout for another email from me tonight, as we look to get down one or two Ones to Watch picks for next week’s tournaments in Hamburg and Strasbourg. Then, next weekend, we’ll be on daily duty at the French Open.
Best wishes,
Tom Wilson