Tennis Betting Advice - September 2022

Sunday Night Club: Ones to Watch at 33/1 & 25/1...

Sunday 25th September 2022

One to Watch in Sofia at 33/1...

Since the US Open, three of the young women that we backed at big prices in New York have gone on to taste success on the WTA Tour...

As reported last week, our 1,000/1 US Open teenage pick Linda Fruhvirtova went on to win her maiden WTA title in Chennai - with the big price difference being that her tour win came at just 6/1.

Earlier today (Sunday), 19-year-old Qinwen Zheng and 23-year-old Liudmila Samsonova met in the WTA Tokyo final - with the latter taking the honours. We were on Samsonova at 100/1 and 80/1 at the US Open; last week in Tokyo, she went off at more like 10/1 and 8/1. Samsonova has now won three WTA events in a row.

Perhaps it will pay this coming week then, to follow a couple of the other upcoming players that we've been tracking this summer...

In a busy ATP & WTA schedule featuring five tournaments running from Monday through to Sunday, I have three names for us to initially get behind, before play begins.

Court specialists can be especially worth following indoors. The indoor hard-court form-book, like grass, is never going to bulge in the same way that outdoor hard & clay figures do - there are just not enough mainstream indoors or grass events on the ATP & WTA tours to fill up the books. However, when a player shows a propensity for a particular surface, then we should take note...

Tim Van Rijthoven was a 100/1 outsider pick for us on the Wimbledon turf this summer. The big-serving Dutchman likes a fast-playing surface, with a massive, booming serve leading the way. On indoor hard courts, Tim has made two quarter finals, a semi final, and a final this season, all on the lower-tier ATP Challenger circuit. In that Challenger final in Italy in February, Van Rijthoven was beaten to the trophy by 20-year-old Brit, Jack Draper. While the British player goes off as one of the 6/1 favourites indoors at ATP Sofia this week, Van Rijthoven can be backed at a tasty 33/1.

In the opposite side of the Sofia draw, I also like the 20-year-old Czech, Jiri Lehecka at 20/1+. Lehecka caught the eye earlier this season, reaching the semi final at the big annual indoor hard-court ATP tournament in Rotterdam. Last season he made a final indoors on the Challenger circuit. I like his attitude on court, and he could be one to go places in the next few seasons.

A teenager in Tallinn...

From Bulgaria to Estonia now, and we look to the women's tour for the WTA Tallinn event...

Estonian veteran Kaia Kanepi would love to win in her home country, I'm sure, but odds around the 12/1 mark don't get the juices flowing much, considering Kaia is up against last week's WTA Seoul runner-up Jelena Ostapenko in the opening round. Latvia's Ostapenko is around 14/1.

While one of those two will punch themselves out in the first round, a bigger-price Tallinn clash sees two youngsters battling it out on Monday...

Diane Parry (age 20) and Linda Noskova (17) have both featured in Ones to Watch this spring & summer.

Parry is widely available at around 40/1 and bigger in the Sunday-night Outright Winner markets for WTA Tallinn. Noskova is harder to find as I write, a problem I've encountered a few times with bookies slow/ failing to price up a player who has come through a tournament's weekend qualifying rounds. That's the case with the Czech teenager here, with Noskova blasting her way through qualifying with a pair of straight-sets, 2-0 wins.

Linda's indoor hard-court form greatly trumps the Frenchwoman Parry's here. With Noskova going 39-10 for her young career to date indoors, including a won 11 lost 2 record in 2022 - which features a semi-final run in March followed by a final in April (ITF Tour). Linda's getting better all the time. She could be the next teenager to push through and win a maiden WTA title.

As I write this Sunday night, not many bookies have Noskova listed. Unibet are a standout 60/1, Bet365 are 25/1, and Ladbrokes & Coral go 22/1. It was the 25/1 price that I came across first, and anything around that level is acceptable to me here - and of course, bigger if you can get it. Other bookies will hopefully join the party on Monday AM - look to the likes of William Hill, Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook, for example.


Ones to Watch picks:

Outright Winner – Each Way (1/2 odds 1-2 places):

ATP Sofia – Sofia Open

  • Tim Van Vijthoven @ 33/1 Bet365, Skybet, Betfred, Betway

  • Jiri Lehecka @ 25/1 Coral, Ladbrokes, 22/1 Skybet, 20/1 Bet365, Betway

WTA Tallinn – Tallinn Open

  • Linda Noskova @ 60/1 Unibet25/1 Bet365, 22/1 Ladbrokes, Coral


Play starts from approx. 10am UK time in Tallinn, and 2pm in Sofia. Bookies will take down their Outright Winner markets during play.

Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch