OTW Extra Email Archive - January 2018

22/1 Siniakova now 6/1 – and Save the Date...

Wednesday 3rd January 2018

In your Ones to Watch email today:

  • Open goals in Brisbane...
  • 22/1 Siniakova now 6/1...
  • Save the Date...

Open goals in Brisbane...

On New Year’s Day we waded into the new season with three players to watch at 20/1+.

Our two men have fallen early in the ATP Brisbane event this week, and it’s looking like Mischa Zverev and Damir Dzumhur have missed a bit of an ‘open goal’...

As we noted on MondayAndy Murray and Milos Raonic both had a few questions marks over them coming into their first tournament of the season.

Murray and Raonic were the two favourites in the bottom half of the Brisbane draw – and both are now out of the event.

Murray withdrew with a long-standing hip problem, and Raonic lost in his first match of 2018.

That leaves the bottom half of the Brisbane draw – which we deliberately targeted this week – looking wide open:


  • Red boxes = our picks 20/1 Zverev and 22/1 Dzumhur
  • Blue boxes = favourites in the bottom half of draw 5/1 Murray withdrew, 9/1 Raonic knocked out

There are six players remaining in that bottom half, who were all at big prices in the Outright Winner market at the start of the week:

Michael Mmoh 100/1 – now 14/1
Alex De Minaur 25/1 – now 8/1
Denis Istomin 80/1 – now 25/1
Jared Donaldson 80/1 – now 16/1
Ryan Harrison 50/1 – now 12/1
Yannick Hanfmann 100/1 – now 33/1

We won’t be celebrating a big winner there this time, but we correctly targeted (avoided) the dodgy favourites – and that’s half the battle.

Things are looking better for us in China...

22/1 Siniakova now 6/1...

Katerina Siniakova – highlighted at 22/1 and 20/1 at the start of the week – is through to the WTA Shenzhen quarter finals.

Siniakova had a bit of a rollercoaster match this morning, losing her serve a few too many times for my liking, but still managed to come out a 2 sets to nil winner for the second consecutive match.

The 21-year-old Czech – who is on our Ones to Watch in 2018 list – is now down to 6/1 to successfully defend the title that she won here last year. We’ve managed to grab some value in the price there.

All four Shenzhen quarter finals are scheduled for Thursday morning UK time, and you can watch live on BT Sport.

Siniakova is a 4/6 (1.67) favourite to beat Kristyna Pliskova and book a place in the semi finals – where Maria Sharapova or Zarina Dynas would await.

I like Kristyna Pliskova (we had an 18/1 winner on her at the WTA Tashkent event in 2016), and I wouldn’t put you off having a saver bet on that match if you want to protect a bit of your stake. The head-to-head is 3-2 to Siniakova, but Pliskova has won 2 of their previous 3 meetings on hard courts.

The match is schedule for around 8.30am Thursday.

Save the Date...

The new season is alive & kicking and we’re about to step things up a gear. Here are a couple of key dates for you to be aware of – coming up very soon:

  • Mon 8th Jan – I’ll be in touch with your FREE Australian Open 2018 – Ones to Watch report, naming a handful of early-bird players to look out for at big prices in Melbourne in the first Grand Slam of the season. Last season our free reports identified 28/1 Marin Cilic who made the Wimbledon final and 40/1 Sloane Stephens who won the US Open...
  • Thur 11th Jan – your chance to join my exclusive BRAND NEW service, kicking off with full DAILY Australian Open coverage... and continuing with weekly tournament AND match bet advice, all through the season. This is my most exciting project yet and I can’t wait to get started. As a Ones to Watch reader you will get the chance to book your place on this new, dedicated service before anyone else – guaranteed...

I’ll be back soon with more news on the big launch, and full details of what’s in store.

Stay tuned. And enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson