OTW Extra Email Archive - July 2022

Atlanta trophy pointers: 11 Americans in a row...

Friday 22nd July 2022

Good afternoon. There are five tennis tournaments for us to go to work on next week. I’ve already started my betting research and preparation…

Atlanta trophy pointers…

Here's next week’s tournament schedule, all starting on Monday, 25th July:

  • WTA 250 Warsaw – BNP Parisbas Poland Open – Clay
  • WTA 250 PragueLiveSport Prague Open 2022 – Hard
  • ATP 250 Umag – Plava Laguna Croatia Open Umag – Clay
  • ATP 250 Kitzbuhel – Generali Open – Clay
  • ATP 250 AtlantaAtlanta Open – Hard

11 American finalists in a row…

The men’s event in Atlanta is one that I’m certainly keen to take a look at.

There’s a rich history of ‘home’ players doing well at the Atlanta Open. With a decade-plus roster that is saturated with American winners and finalists:

ATP Atlanta – since 2010:

[Tournament not played in 2020 due to coronavirus pandemic]

  • 11 out of 11 years – at least one American player in the final
  • 9 out of 11 – American winner
  • 4 of last 11 – all-American final

John Isner accounts for a sizeable chunk of that USA-heavy roll-call. A graduate of the University of Georgia, he likes it in these parts. Big John’s Atlanta formbook is formidable:

  • Isner has made the Atlanta final 9 times in 11 visits – winning the title on 6 occasions

Now, you don’t need to be a genius to predict that the big-serving, 6’10” American will be one of the favourites to lift the trophy again next week…

I keep records going back to summer 2015 with the day-one tournament Outright Winner prices. Here’s how John Isner’s Atlanta Open odds have looked over the years:

2021 – Isner 6/1 (won). Fellow American, Brandon Nakashima runner-up (12/1)

2018 – Isner 3/1 (won). Fellow American, Ryan Harrison runner-up (18/1)

2017 – Isner 3/1 (won). Fellow American, Ryan Harrison runner-up (12/1)

2016 – Isner 3/1 (runner-up). Australian, Nick Kyrgios won (10/3)

2015 – Isner 11/4 (won). Cypriot, Marcos Baghdatis runner-up (16/1)

The early takeaway points here:

  • We should be on the lookout for an American contender or two that could go well in Atlanta next week. John Isner, despite now being 37 years of age, is likely to go off as one of the favourites, at single-figure quotes. But as that list above suggests, we might do well to target a player at bigger odds, Each Way, with the chance of a decent payout for reaching the final

That’s just one of the five tournaments that I’ll be keeping a close eye on over the next few days…

Play starts on Monday – don’t miss out…

Over on my members-only service, I’ll be sending out my first Ones to Watch selections for next week’s tournaments in time for kick-off on Monday…

If you join up here, the advice will be in your inbox ready for Monday morning.

P.S
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Enjoy the tennis…

Best wishes,

Tom Wilson

Tom Wilson

Ones to Watch